In 2007 I was asked to write a chapter in protein comparative modeling. At the time, the PSI was churning out lots of protein structures, of which roughly 20% corresponded to new CATH and/or SCOP folds. Based on this performance, I could write with some degree of confidence that a concerted effort was underway to produce a truly representative sampling of protein conformational space that might some day become a comprehensive basis for comparative modeling of effectively the entire plausible proteome.
This written, I put the blinders on and went back to my focus on in silico drug design. Meaning, of course, that I spent most of my time looking at a fairly narrow subset of the fold realm, corresponding to established targets and their close relatives. In the back of my mind, though, I more or less assumed that the PSI was continuing to churn out great new advances in fold discovery.
Now, having been asked to write an update to the chapter, I am surprised to discover that no new folds have been registered in CATH since 2009, and that there's been nothing new in SCOP since 2008!
So my question is this: has the world (and PSI in particular) de-emphasized novel fold discovery to the point of near abandonment, or does it appear that all the low-hanging fruit have been plucked and that the remaining portion of uncharacterized distinct structure space (estimated to be perhaps 700 folds) corresponds to problematic structures with poor analytical prognosis (e.g., poor solubility; inherent disorder, etc.)?
Clearly I would have preferred to answer this through literature survey rather than taking up your valuable time, but in my initial forays I haven't been able to come up with any clear resolution, perhaps because most scientists tend not to emphasize failures or topics that they've stopped pursuing. So, any thoughts?
With your permission, I would be happy to explicitly cite any of you who can shed light on this.
Thanks!