For example, I am particularly interested in the consequences of the UK's new global policy for India, China, and Australia. Could a well-designed agent-based computer model, using appropriate data including about individual world leaders, help predict any dangerous consequences of this new policy?
May peace be upon you,
I was interested in the discussion but can you explain what does computer model mean?
Regards,
I am most disappointed at the lack of interest in this topic. Surely its importance is evident. The world grows more dangerous day by day.
To: Ashiqur Rahman -- May peace be upon you
A computer model is a computer program that enables an experimenter to recreate some real world situation inside a computer and experiment with it, including experiments to find beneficial changes in that situation. An example is a computer street model of a city eg of Dublin. with the aim of making changes to the street layout to improve traffic flow.
James
The following sceptical points have been raised by colleagues (outside RG)
1. Computers do not have feelings (eg anger, guilt, lust for power) as human beings do, so computer models have profound limitations in this context,
2. such a model would need to be of extraordinary complexity,
3. correspondingly, the data needed to construct the model would be excessive -- worse, much of that data would be classified secret,
4. if the model did show signs of being effective, then it would immediately be used as a supra-national political weapon rather than as the benign, objective, useful, neutral tool which is, of course, the intention.
I shall react to these points, which are certainly too simple, in a further post.
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