The following study indicates that a previous history of SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with an 84% lower risk of infection, with median protective effect observed 7 months following primary infection.
Experience has shown that there is every likelihood that there will be re-infection of covid-19 as observed in most cases of similar infections. Experience, they say is the best teacher.
I personally know 4 people who were infected with the virus. All individuals had bilateral pneumonia. After 7-8 months, they became ill again and tested positive for COVID-19.
I think that the lungs cannot recover in such a short period of time and that it is quite fatal.
All people have major problems with fatigue that does not go away.
So reinfection is a sure thing! That effectively means covid is going to strike again in massive numbers when the people who have developed some resistance run out of immunity phase.
It was found that antibodies due to natural infection persist for about 3 months in 12% and for about 6 months in 88% of infected individuals. So that reinfection may occur after about 6 months of the first infection.
The chances of reinfection, i.e. re-infection with the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus after an early recovery from a new infection and possibly from Covid-19 disease, are correlated with the periodic emergence of new, more infectious varieties of this virus. The new, mutated variants of Coronavirus that arise every few months are so different that the antibodies produced in the human body (naturally after infection or by administering a Coronavirus vaccine) no longer recognize this new variant of Coronavirus and then reinfection and possibly also a specific phase / scale of usually more or less mild, asymptomatic or weakly symptomatic development of Covid-19 disease.
COVID-19 vaccinated people are more protected from SARS-coV-2 infection compared with reinfection in those who have had recovery from COVID-19 illness
In a study on Qatar airline passengers getting re-infection in non-infected versus SARS-CoV-2 reinfection in those who have had previous COVID-19 infection versus those who had been vaccinated, it was found that the vaccinated people were less likely to be infected versus people who got reinfection after recovery from COVID-19.
For details, please have a look at this link to JAMA:
Article Associations of Vaccination and of Prior Infection With Posi...
I think the chance is 50 to 50. You can get infected. Depends on many factors that cannot always be foreseen. And there are too many new stamps. And vaccines are not "imprisoned" for everything.
I got reinfected with COVID-19 even though I was vaccinated but the symptoms were not that severe. I got the delta variant second time around. And now I have taken the booster shot too. So lets see if there is a third time too ?
Taken together, studies point to a 1% risk for reinfection after an episode of COVID-19. Although, the mechanisms underlying certain factors associated with reinfection need further investigation. https://www.jwatch.org/na54095/2021/09/30/elucidating-reinfection-after-covid-19
A difficult question, as too many parameters should be taken into consideration. The highest risk is between the first and second immunization, when antibodies (if any) are immature. Then, all depends on the amount of neutralizing antibodies. Depending on immune status of the patient, the vaccine, and antibody titer, reinfection might occur in ~1-3% of immunized persons. Keeping in mind a high genetic plastisity of the virus, these numbers can grow significantly, as a consequence of appearence of new virus mutations.
حسب الحالات التي ظهرت في الواقع ان الإصابة بالفيروس متوقعة حتى بعد أخذ اللقاح والسبب ربما يكمن في عدم فعالية اللقاح الكاملة في توفير المناعة الكافية فضلا عن أن الفايروس يحتوى الى أشكال جديدة لم تكن في الحسبان عند إنتاج اللقاح
Basically it will be affected by several factors such as the matching antibodies from vaccine, the immunological status of individuals, the presence of co-infection with other pathogens and RBS variability of the new variants in compare to the vaccine based on.
People who have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 can expect to become reinfected within one or two years, unless they take precautions such as getting vaccinated and wearing masks.