I have a series of increases in death arising from a suspected series of outbreaks of an unknown agent.
The suspicion is that the agent is relatively difficult to transmit and relies heavily on chance to initiate a mass effect.
How do I test the hypothesis that a high increase in deaths is typically followed by a low increase in deaths in the following outbreak and vice versa?
See attached chart.
See also http://www.hcaf.biz/emergencyadmissions.html for further detail of these infectious-like events