In Epidemiological study, we often find the term of predictor and risk factor, what is the difference between them and when do we use them? Is it also related to statistical analysis that we use?
Mahalul, unfortunately the terms "predictor" and "risk factor" are used interchangeably in epidemiology. But i think the term "predictor" makes more sense in prediction modeling, while the term "risk factor" may be more relevant for questions of etiology.
Mahalul, unfortunately the terms "predictor" and "risk factor" are used interchangeably in epidemiology. But i think the term "predictor" makes more sense in prediction modeling, while the term "risk factor" may be more relevant for questions of etiology.
And to add to Christophers' answer. If studying etiology you will probably want to adjust for all known confounders. However, if studying prediction, you probably want to be more conservative in adjusting for confounding variables or you might even want to run your prediction models unadjusted
Technically there is none. Regarding the statistics the more proper terms would be independent variable (aka risk factor or predictor). It's context related, if you call an independent variable a predictor or a risk factor (see Christophers answer).
Although they are often used synonymously as Christopher mentioned, there is a slight difference in epidemiological studies. Predictor variables are those that are significantly associated with a particular outcome whether they are beneficial or risk fact
Risk factor is an event, circumstance or characteristic that is present in a subject, that is common in sufferers of a particular disease. A predictor is a circumstance, characteristic or event that occurs while an action is taking place, that favors one particular outcome (positive or negative).For example when I do an experimental work about lets say examining a sample or a drug type sometimes I predict using one experimental method rather than the other (but I don't really really know which one is the best to use.. that was in the first year), so here you can see my results at the end of the work are not really perfect (that sometimes due to me limited experience). But when I know that there is a high risk of damaging the sample or the drug I am testing when using that experiment I will not be using it.
I think the two terms are interchangeable for statistical purposes, as Martin Eichler noted, but solely under this respect; their practical significance is deeply different.
A good predictor of an adverse effect (the value of an exposure to a defined agent or mix of agents, an exposure circumstance such as "working in the shoe industry" , a descriptor of a possibly relevant personal habit like the number of cigarette smoked each day or the assumption of fruit and vegetables , the value of a single parameter in blood or urine or a set of such parameters, and so on) shows a defined (positive or negative) correlation with the occurrence of this effect, in the better cases with a recognizable dose vs response relationship: but not necessarily a good predictor is the real risk (or protective) factor.
A good predictor could be just a proxy for a causative, poorly known exposure (e.g. urinary 1-OH-pyrene for overall exposure to PAH's), a substitute of a causative, poorly known exposure (e.g., looking for lung cancer risk, the presence and extension of pleural plaques standing for overall asbestos exposure) or simply a condition that, in the studied population, is not causally associated to the really causative exposure (e.g. high social status with uterus' neck cancer risk).
I hope this be useful to you, tell if you need more.
Agree with others above, it is often used interchangeably and a predictor is often used in predictive models in prognosis studies for example. Risk factors in the end are the same in practice, things that increase the probability of a particular condition, i.e have a potential causative role. The predictor may not be causative but is often associated with a particular condition.
The term predictor is often mis-used and misleading and I would suggest to avoid it when you can - except for real prediction studies e.g. risk equation models.
Even the term risk factor could be misunderstood as it suggests causality and I would use a more neutral term such as "associated variable" or "independent variable" as suggested above.
Agree with all; to add in simple terms ; risk is preconceived especially in case control or even in cohort studies and what we do is reaccertain the association using RR; predictors terminology becomes more relevant in a descriptive or longitudinal study wherein several factors are assessed, confounding is adjusted and maybe population specific predictors identified. However i agree that somewhere the causality assessment makes these terms to be used interchangeably and perhalps depending on the study design and objectives.
In current life studies, ongoing right now in the US political sphere...poor election predictors have led to an extremely high probability of negative risk factors - not just domestically, but unfortunately, globally. I don't think we'll need to run any stats on these though...its pretty universally accepted.
The predictive factors allow to anticipate the occurrence of an event, while the risk factors allow to establish a condition, characteristic or exposure that increases the probability of suffering an event.
A risk factor can be postulated a cause of a disease, a prognostic factor or a predictor factor. A prognostic factor is a risk factor identified on the occasion of a prognostic study. Predictor factor influences the course of a disease when this factor is associated with the administration of a treatment.
A risk factor is an exposure, an attribute, an element or a condition which is associated with change (mostly increase) in the risk of disease occurrence or mortality. A risk factor is either modifiable that is, changeable with intervention like smoking, body weight, lifestyle etc, or non-modifiable like aging, sex and others. Risk factor may be used as predictor of future changes in health. Predictors may be risk factors but may be not. These are factors which can be utilized to predict(anticipate) the probability of occurrence or the probability of existence of disease or features of disease or prognosis of disease. Not all predictors are risk factors.
Nice to hear from you all. All variables are risk factors for different outcomes. When you run a bivariate analysis on risk factors, you may pick some predictor variables which needs to be analyzed further under multivariable analysis to remove the confounders and some modifiers. Risk factors which survive whole this process becomes the real predictors of an outcome.
The term "risk factor" is an umbrella term that encompasses predictors and explanatory factors. Explanatory factors are always causal factors, predictors do not necessarily include cause. E.g. some factors can reliably predict the outcome without being the cause of outcome (e.g. biomarker). Therefore, in many cases, you can not explain the outcome with predictor (not explanatory) although you can predict it. Because of that reason study designs for identifying predictors and explanatory factors differ.
Both are usually randomly used and actually risk factor is a broader term and predictor is relatively newer and more specific term for prediction. Literal meaning may be different but in epidemiology both are used without any significant difference.
The difference between predictors and risk factors is rare. Namely, all risk factors are predictors (some of them are not necessarily good ones, but still predictors), and there is only one case that I’m aware of in which the predictor is not at the same time a risk factor. Namely, in the case of a variable that is not related to the disease (so it is not a risk factor), but is related to some other predictor or risk factor in that part of the variance of that other predictor which is not related to the disease (let's call that part: "Irrelevant part of predictor’s variance" or residual variance). In such a case, the first predictor (which is not a risk factor) will have the suppression effect and objectively increase the predictive value of that other factor (which is a risk factor) by accounting for that irrelevant part of the variance of the risk factor, so that the predictive value of that other predictor (risk factor) become larger and the overall predictive model better. This is therefore only possible when this first predictor is used in multivariable analysis with other predictor, for example for the Risk score. Within causal/etiological/explanatory research, there is no difference between the term "predictor" and "risk factor", but the term "predictor" is not used there anyhow, and only those risk factors that are causally related to the disease are used, and not those who are only associated with the disease and the risk of the disease, but not causally, except as when they serve as a surrogate for some other - expensive, inaccessible, invasive, etc. - risk factor which is a true cause of the disease.