Dear Friends,
Kindly allow me to extract few interesting quotes from this page “Science is at its end, all the important things have already been discovered!”. The following paragraph is extracted from http://amasci.com/weird/end.html
"Sometimes I really regret that I did not live in those times when there was still so much that was new; to be sure enough much is yet unknown, but I do not think that it will be possible to discover anything easily nowadays that would lead us to revise our entire outlook as radically as was possible in the days when telescopes and microscopes were still new." - Heinrich Hertz as a physics student
I heard many researchers making such despairing statements (in fact I used to feel the same way 20 years ago). It is always much simpler to discover many things when any new paradigm for a scientific discipline was in its fledgling nascent stage. There would be many low hanging fruits for easy picking, when any field in its nascent stage. Even less intelligent people have chance of finding things or could start picking low hanging fruits, while brilliant renowned experts wasting time being skeptical or fighting to suppress the new reality/paradigm.
Instead of trying to find easy pickings in such newly discovered fledgling nascent Heliocentric model of their discipline, most of the brilliant fools fiercely defend the flawed Geocentric paradox of their discipline (e.g. by resorting to vicious personal attacks on the proponents of new model).
Kindly refer to wiki for normal science at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_science, which says:
“Normal science, identified and elaborated on by Thomas Samuel Kuhn in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, is the regular work of scientists theorizing, observing, and experimenting within a settled paradigm or explanatory framework, Regarding science as puzzle-solving, Kuhn explained normal science as slowly accumulating detail in accord with established broad theory, without questioning or challenging the underlying assumptions of that theory.”
In short: Normal science solves puzzles that are posed by the prevailing paradigm but does not challenge the paradigm's basic beliefs (that are at the root and used as foundation for building the paradigm). For example, 2300 years old belief “the Earth is static at center” was at the root and foundation for 16th century dominant geocentric paradox.
The wiki on “Normal Science” further states:
“Kuhn stressed that historically the route to normal science could be a difficult one. Prior to the formation of a shared paradigm or research consensus, would-be scientists were reduced to the accumulation of random facts and unverified observations, in the manner recorded by Pliny the Elder or Francis Bacon, while simultaneously beginning the foundations of their field from scratch through a plethora of competing theories.”
The physics went through that stage between 400BC (i.e. time of Plato and Aristotle) and 16th century, when the basic tenet at the root “the Earth is static at the center”. A complex geocentric paradigm had been evolved for 1800 years until 16th century. We now know that no meaningful progress was possible in the geocentric paradox, except exposing the error “the Earth is at the center”.
When heliocentric model was proposed most of the brilliant fools choose to fiercely defend the flawed Geocentric paradox, rather than finding easy pickings on nascent Heliocentric model. Many brilliant people (e.g. Heinrich Hertz) and ordinary people like me must have longed for such simpler times.
Even ordinary people like me had a chance to make meaningful contribution in such simpler times. But today, people like me can’t even understand theory relativity. It is beyond mental capability of brilliant people to even comprehend theories such as String theory. Only handful of people in the world has the intellectual capability to comprehend such complex theories.
I learned hard way that: A monkey has better chance of understanding trigonometry, than the chance ordinary old engineers like me has to understand String theory. No wonder many people like me long for simpler times, where there is a chance (even if it is very small chance) to make useful contribution.
From 1874:
"When I began my physical studies [in Munich in 1874] and sought advice from my venerable teacher Philipp von Jolly... he portrayed to me physics as a highly developed, almost fully matured science... Possibly in one or another nook there would perhaps be a dust particle or a small bubble to be examined and classified, but the system as a whole stood there fairly secured, and theoretical physics approached visibly that degree of perfection which, for example, geometry has had already for centuries." - from a 192 4 lecture by Max Planck (Sci. Am, Feb 1996 p.10)
Many experts such as Dr. Fred Brooks and other Turing Award winning researchers stated that Software engineering and computer science reached this stage in mid 1980s. That is, Software engineering as a whole stood there fairly secured, and software components approached visibly that degree of perfection which, for example, geometry has had already for centuries.
Dr. Fred Brooks wrote seminal book “Mythical Man Month” in 1975 and influential Papers such as "No Silver Bullet – Essence and Accident in Software Engineering" in 1986.
Those books and papers were published more than 30 and 40 years ago. They withstood the test of time (i.e. no significant progress is made as theorized by Dr. Brooks) and in the process acquired many strong supporters. I was one of them. It is hard to attract treasure hunters to such well trodden and thoroughly explored discipline.
Chance of making any useful contribution is nearly Zero. How can anyone discover anything, when there is nothing there to discover in the geocentric paradox of software.
Only brilliant people have mental capability to master mature paradigms such as Theory of Relativity. No one can make any contribution without mastering such mature paradigm. It requires many decades of hard work even to brilliant people to master such mature paradigm.
Isn’t it despairing to people like me having average intellect? What chance a person having ordinary intellect has to discover something new, when tens of thousands of researchers before him already explored found everything that can be found in a dominant paradigm?
But lucky me! Existing dominant paradigms for Computer Science and software engineering has been evolving for past 50 to 60 years by relying on flawed assumptions (as the 16th century geocentric paradox evolved for 1800 years by relying on flawed assumptions).
Exposing the flawed assumptions open vast uncharted and hidden realms for exploration. This gives an opportunity to build new superior paradigm rooted in well tested facts from scratch. Such virgin territories offer many easy pickings, even for people having ordinary intellect.
But the problem is that: Instead of trying to find easy pickings, even brilliant fools choosing to fiercely defend the flawed Geocentric paradox of software engineering. Many of them not able to recognize the simpler times they have been longing for, even such simpler times hits in their face.
The huge BoK (Body of Knowledge) for existing dominant software engineering paradigm has been acquired and accumulated for over 50 years. This huge BoK is result of passionate hard work of Tens of thousands of researchers at any time during past 50 years.
Even today tens of thousands of researchers around the world are working hard, hoping to find something that earlier generations might have missed on the well-trodden path. Few dozen researchers must already be exploring anything you would choose to explore.
It is a tall order that a small thing hidden from combing sight of countless brilliant people explored before still to be found in a nook and corner of a dominant paradigm. Isn’t it despairing for a young researcher, who must spend many decades to master already existing huge BoK before he can have any chance of finding some thing hidden or new? Is there any wonder many young aspiring researchers yearn for simpler times?
In a mature dominant paradigm, everything has 4-digit accuracy. His efforts might increase it to 5-digit accuracy, if at all brilliant people before him overlooked an insignificant nook or corner.
Look at the bright side: We get to build a brand-new paradigm (a huge tree of BoK having many branches and sub branches) from clean slate by finding each of the new facts and rigorously test for validating each of the facts before relying each on the facts for acquiring to accumulate each piece of knowledge for the BoK starting from scratch.
Join me in growing the tree of BoK from budding seed for evolving a new paradigm. This kind of opportunity comes once in a century and no more than once in the history of each scientific discipline.
My request to each software researcher is, don’t be a brilliant fool. Existing dominant paradigm of CBD/CBE is rooted in lies. Nothing of significance is left to be found.
A new paradigm opens vast new uncharted territory. A new paradigm must be built from clean slate. Whatever you find might become a bud-seed for a new branch of knowledge in the tree of the BoK for the new paradigm.
Best Regards,
Raju Chiluvuri