Covid-19 prevention measures should be or not be different in different countries, what best could be done in different parts of the world?
Dear researchers have a nice Sunday. My question regard the nature of Lombardia (N. Italy) Coronavirus: its death rate is not compatible with COVID19 but with SARS. WHY??? >> see data >> https://www.researchgate.net/post/The_novel_Coronavirus_in_N_Italy_Lombardia_COVID19_2019nCoV_SARSCoV2_shows_a_fatality_rate_compatible_with_SARS_Why
Hello everyone. I am concerned about the measures religious communities took or rather should have. Please follow up the thread: https://www.researchgate.net/post/The_measures_religious_cults_took_in_front_of_COVID-19_weakness_or_diligence
The world Health Organization should be serious about dealing with disease and cooperate with all countries in the world to prevent the spread of the disease .
TOTAL LOCK DOWN--Nobody goes in or out, except for trucks carrying food and medical supplies, like the China method.
Otherwise, the USA has known for two years, what the implications of the uncontrolled virus is going to be, because in 2018, the John Hopkins Center for Health Security ran a simulation called "Parainfluenza Clade X" to determine what the potential would be of a virus pandemic, and they concluded: "...twenty months 150 million people worldwide--two percent of the global population--have died."
"...The global economy has collapsed under the strain, with the Dow Jones average down 90 percent. U.S. GDP down 50 percent, and unemployment at 20 percent. Washington is barely functioning--the president and vice president are both ill, one one-third of Congress is dead or incapacitated."
People involved in that simulation were Tom Daschle (former leader of US Senate), Dr. Julie Gerberding (former head CDC), Jim Talen (former Missouri senator)--Why are all of these people keeping quiet right now, and not telling us what they saw in the global virus pandemic simulation only two years ago, and helping lead us out of this mess, with some new simulations???!!!
This simulation information and attendee list is from pages 201-203 of the Bryan Walsh book, "END, A Brief Guide to the End of the World: Asteroids, Supervolcanoes, Rogue Robots, and more", published in 2019.
Details about the John Hopkins "CLADE X" exercise can be read at
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events/2018_clade_x_exercise/index.html
So much has been said about PREVENTION of COVID-19 by lay press, media, all the major global and national health organizations that only advice left to say now is to do:
"Lockdown, socially distance, and wash your hands" of this topic.
If you again come in contact with it "Quarantine and if positive isolate yourself"
Prevention of the Coronavirus is only successful, when your own government is behind, supporting each person living in your country?
The virus is very quickly stripping away...the facade that each country has erected, to pretend how much they really care about each individual's welfare, in terms of safe housing, a livable wage, clean water, free electricity via solar panels, free heath care, free higher education, equal rights for women, actions to reverse Global Warming, zero investment in militaries and warfare, no refugees, no "illegals" when everyone is a citizen ("Wherever you live, you are automatically a citizen") and the like?
Or, is the government really only interested in...maintaining the status quo for the wealthiest 2%and to maintain a plutocracy? The coronavirus is showing us where our government's hearts and minds really live, and where the adjustment must be made?-- So that in the near future, each country takes care of the welfare of ALL of its people living within its borders? .As spoken by the character Ruk in Star Trek episode "What are Little Girls Made of?:" that was first aired on Oct.20, 1966, "Survival! Existence! Must cancel out programming!"
EXTREMELY CRITICAL ITEM to finally stop new cases of the coronavirus--EVERYONE must wear masks when going out of their homes--to take a walk, or shop, or go to work as an "Essential Worker" -- In the San Jose area with 2 million people, after a month of Lockdown, still 40-50 new cases daily, which could keep the pandemic smoldering here forever, requiring a year or two of lockdown to finally put it out. More important than tests, are 7 masks for each person, and rotate those masks, and WEAR them when outside! Otherwise, all of the weeks or months or years lockdown goes to waste.
THIS is the new health order issued today about face coverings, April 17, 2020, in my County in California--- Bay Area health officials are recommending residents cover their nose and mouth with cloth when leaving home for essential travel such as doctor appointments, grocery shopping or pharmacy visits.
The regional recommendation aligns with new guidance from the California Department of Public Health.
The face coverings do not have to be hospital grade but need to cover the nose and mouth. For example, bandanas, fabric masks and neck gaiters are acceptable. Fabric covers and bandanas can be washed and used again.
Health officials do not recommend that the public use medical masks (N-95 or surgical masks), which are in limited supply and must be preserved for our health care workers and first responders.
Up until now, local officials have not recommended the large-scale use of face coverings, but circumstances have changed.
“In addition to shelter-in-place and social distancing requirements, wearing a mask in public is an important tool to stop the community spread of this disease,” says Scott Morrow, MD, San Mateo County health officer. “People with no or mild symptoms may have coronavirus and not know it. Wearing face coverings helps protect others from exposure.”
Covering the nose and mouth with cloth also may be beneficial as a reminder to keep physical distancing. Health officials continue to stress that staying home, frequent hand washing and physical distancing are the best ways to prevent the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus.
Acceptable face coverings can be made of a variety of cloth materials, be factory-made or hand-sewn, or can be improvised using bandanas, scarves, t-shirts, sweatshirts or towels.
Face coverings should be washed frequently with detergent and hot water and dried on a hot cycle. Ideally, wash your face covering after each use, and have a dedicated laundry bag or bin.
Make sure the covering is comfortable – you don’t want to have to keep adjusting the mask, which means touching your face. Always wash your hands, or use hand sanitizer, before AND after touching your face or face coverings.
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What... measures should be taken, may not be as important ...What... permanent changes to human societies the coronavirus will make?
Probably as massive as what happened to my Native American relatives 500 years ago...When the European people brought us Bubonic plague, chickenpox, cholera, the common cold, diphtheria, influenza, malaria, measles, scarlet fever, sexually transmitted diseases, smallpox, typhoid, typhus, tuberculosis, and whooping cough ?
And that all happened within a short amount of time, and some of us fortunately survived, that is why I am here to tell you this story today!
Much more important than WHEN the pandemic will end, will be WHO wins the current battle...between the scientists and medical practitioners who are working hard to get us all healthy, and the some of the politicians who look at us--just as numbers--and only interested in maintaining their money and power?
...Several countries have demonstrated that COVID-19 transmission from one person to another can be slowed or stopped. These actions have saved lives and have provided the rest of the world with more time to prepare for the arrival of COVID-1 9...
World Health Organization. (2020). Critical preparedness, readiness and response actions for COVID-19: interim guidance, 22 March 2020 (No. WHO/2019-nCoV/Community_Actions/2020.3). World Health Organization.
All countries should increase their level of preparedness, alert and response to identify, manage and care for new cases of COVID-19. Countries should prepare to respond to different public health scenarios, recognizing that there is no one-size-fits-all approach …
World Health Organization. (2020). Critical preparedness, readiness and response actions for COVID-19-7 March 2020.
… WHO is actively offering support to accelerate operational readiness for COVID-19 in countries. In addition, the Organization is strengthening laboratory diagnostic capacities by providing essential supplies and technical guidance to national laboratories …
Al-Mandhari, A., Samhouri, D., Abubakar, A., & Brennan, R. (2020). Coronavirus Disease 2019 outbreak: preparedness and readiness of countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region. East Mediterr Health J, 26(2), 136-137.
Following a regional COVID-19 readiness assessment, gaps in the management for COVID-19 cases, especially severe cases, have been identified. These gaps include limited knowledge of the WHO guidance …
World Health Organization. (2020). COVID-19 WHO African Region: External Situation Report 01.
… Interim guidance from the Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC) on COVID-19 outbreak readiness and response in humanitarian situations advises strategic site planning to enable better distancing, attention to crowd management, and strengthened surveillance and testing …
San Lau, L., Samari, G., Moresky, R. T., Casey, S. E., Kachur, S. P., Roberts, L. F., & Zard, M. (2020). COVID-19 in humanitarian settings and lessons learned from past epidemics. Nature Medicine, 1-2.
… The operational readiness index can be used to support WHO, governments, and other international agencies to prioritise their support and implementation of operational readiness capacities for the COVID-19 outbreak..
Kandel, N., Chungong, S., Omaar, A., & Xing, J. (2020). Health security capacities in the context of COVID-19 outbreak: an analysis of International Health Regulations annual report data from 182 countries. The Lancet.
What I saw and observed during the lockdown in my country and other countries' measures, i can say that the following precautionary measures will minimize the spread of COVID19:
#Social Distance
# Use Masks while outside
# Maintain immunity power
(But clinical/medical solution like vaccine seems to be essential)
From https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/#total-cases --- some very good news today! The "Bell-shape curve" is starting to form!
Creative approach is needed to overcome CIVID-19. Total lockdown of a region or province may be effective for a while, but total lockdown of a whole nation at the same time will adversely affect the economy. Developing nations must not copy-paste the templates operated by the advanced nations because the social status of the citizens and government's preparedness to respond to emergencies are not the same.
The pandemic has already spread, now we need to seek a quick end?
We are in a very paradoxical situation right now, because the pandemic will probably end, when each country's national government looks in the mirror right now, THIS WEEK, and decides what the economic, political and health care structures of each future country's will to look like...AFTER the pandemic ceases---then starts immediately rearranging those structures in order to get there as quickly as possible?
For example, the USA was already broke when the pandemic emerged here... from paying the banks off a decade ago, for their mortgage bond frauds and not a single CEO or their Boards went to jail? So, that left a country still being run by the very pirates, who stole many trillions of dollars and got away?
That to me is very much more scary and concerning...than any pandemic here in the USA, when pirates are still running a country? Why? Because when the people in power get away with a theft on an unimaginable scale, you will ever matter to them, and they could throw you overboard at any minute, and there would never be any consequences to pay?
Then, in the last 10 years, we kept investing in...multiple wars and the military, instead of free health care, a free solar panel on every flat roof to start addressing Global Warming, and the such, until we got ourselves in a such a weakened state, that when the alien-pandemic arrived, we now are approaching one million cases in less than 6 months, and over $25 trillion in debt?
The wise historian Arnold Toynbee, warned us..that civilizations collapse—From weakness from within, not from enemies from without? Then, the only way the pandemic will end, then, is to eliminate all of the internal weakness like wasteful spending and allowing pirates to run your country?
And each country must make peace with your neighbors---Because we need every Dollar and ever Rupee, and every Euro, and every Ruble, to get ourselves safely out of this pandemic, and stop wasting funds and energy fighting or wanting to fight each other?
The one who is currently in charge of the human species..is not any political power, no individual world leaders, nobody at the UN--It is one of the smallest organism on the planet plus, and an alien at that--Whose sole purpose in life, is to invade each of our living bodies, so that it can continue exist, reproduce and survive. 2020 is the “Year of the Body Snatchers”
We are its prey...and we still are not together as a species, in this fight!
Do we as a species, want to live as much as this organism does? Then we need to start acting like it, and put down our weapons with each other, and start the only fight that matters?
This new alien intelligence..is trying to teach us, until we immediately get rid of all of the excess baggage that we have been paying for and accumulating for decades, like standing militaries for example, we will never be strong enough either economically or politically, to make a real fight against this alien body-invader, and end the pandemic?
APRIL 26 - The current trends worldwide suggest that the dropping of new cases overall, will take at least another month...mostly because of the USA's weak response to date, causing about 1/3 of the worldwide cases so far. The projected total number of cases worldwide, today April 26 will be over 3,000,000.
Then, about once a week, increase by one million new cases.
May 2 should have four million.. then, May 7 maybe five million...then, May 12 perhaps six million worldwide..unless the USA and all of the denier countries --Brazil, Russian and the UK-- start having EVERY person wearing a mask when they go out, and separate the ill from the healthy, to stop the spreading?
And no country should get off lockdown, until new cases are at ZERO for at least a month? Then, travelers should not be allowed into a virus-free country, from any country where the virus has not eradicated? You need to put out all of the members to stop a fire?
I think we should let those trained in public health along with those in epidemiology, virology, etc., provide us with the details. There should be a temporary relief in the northern hemisphere with warmer weather (temperature).
Our ability to follow instructions or lack off will play a significant part in the containment of the virus.
Everybody/Institution/Country should abide by the health regulations of Covid-19 strictly provided by WHO.
My post back in APRIL said---
APRIL 26 - The current trends worldwide suggest that the dropping of new cases overall, will take at least another month...mostly because of the USA's weak response to date, causing about 1/3 of the worldwide cases so far. The projected total number of cases worldwide, today April 26 will be over 3,000,000.
Well, now we are at October 18 with over 8 million cases for the USA, and worldwide 40,000,000 total cases plus 1,116,877 deaths. Plus, daily worldwide new cases are increasing at the rate of 200,000+ and the daily deaths increasing at the rate of 2,600?
WHAT the heck WENT WRONG between April and October? Wishful thinking, that world wide we really did not need to have a 40-day severe China-style lock down, with ZERO car, train, bus, plane, truck or foot traffic between countries during those entire 40 days?
Also wishful thinking that a vaccines was just around the corner, but that so far is just a fantasy because it does not exist yet… AND it will not be available in time to save another million people from dying or another 40 million from getting sick? People, please SNAP OUT of the fantasies being painted by the politicians and look at the numbers! You are scientists, so should be directed by things that you can count and measure, not wishes that politicians promise you?
Plus, nationwide Covid testing of everyone must be done in each country on a weekly basis for those 40 days?... And then removing each and every infected person away from their friends and families and isolating them from the rest of us, into quarantine locations, and not releasing them until they test negative? Even the asymptomatic ones! Plus everyone else who tests negative, just to be thorough, when they are outside of their home, must wear a mask including the kids over six years old, for another two months?