Large parts of the world are currently under lockdown in order to mitigate the effects of the pandemic. There will come a time when the public will discuss whether this drastic restriction was worth the effort, particularly in the light of the social and economic fallout and the mental health consequences. At this point in time it is definitely too early to come to any firm conclusion. But as scientists, we need to be able to have criteria and indicators ready that we can utilize to contribute to this discussion with evidence-based arguments. So, what do we need to consider when we want to come to grips with these issues?
Its a real cost-benefit situation
See Article COVID-19 Lockdown Easing and Restricting Color Framework for...
Lock down was necessary.
Comparative analysis beteween complete lock down, partial lock down and unlock areas having baseline same number of cases could be be helpful.
Thanks for the replies. First of all, I don't think it's a show. There is considerable excess mortality in many regions, see for Europe:
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
However, as the Euromomo data show, this is not everywhere to be seen. And we need to have indicators that we can apply for different regions and different lockdown approaches. Next, for a cost-benefit analysis, we need to have more comprehensive indicators and we will propably only have them in some years time as, e.g. mortality by cancer treatment avoidance, will be seen with a considerable time lag, while suicide mortality will probably be apparent much earlier.
By collecting ideas and data I want to avoid to become regarded somewhere between right-wing activists and conspiracy theorists where the current pandemic denial can now be observed.
Just following China and WHO prescribed it too. Initially only for for 3-5 cases the area was under lockdown and when it passed 1000 cases then total country went under lockdown.
Pakistan is imposing smart lock down, which is working so good so far and we have seen a huge decreased in a number of reported cases on a daily basis.
I am happy reading all your contributions on this topic, I enjoy learning from you all. I do not believe in the one-size-fits-all approach here.
I would think it is too soon to know. I am based in Sweden and we have instead been practising social distancing. However, some things like schools have stayed open.
Covid has exposed neglected areas here like our care of the elderly, many whom died without getting a reasonable treatment and also quite often were malnutritioned before hand. The staff caring for these people are under more stress than to 10-20 years ago caring for more people in less time and rarely had the right protection. A lock down would not have changed the out come here, but more staff, protective clothing, better nutrition and beeing able to go outdoors might have.
Another group that peeked here was immigrants that were living close to oneanother and many in covering clothes (possible vitamin D def). This shows problems in social structure and economics and language difficulties since it was hard to get information out.
It seems now we are getting many cases amongst young to middle aged adults and they are afraid we are in for another wave of Covid. I am not surprised since people in that age group have taken on more social activities again.
Criteria needed to look at I would say are wide ranged including what I mentioned above and things like:
-population density per region (not only country)
-people per house hold
-health care system capacity, did it peek and how often?
-amount of deaths not only in covid but like a catch all and maybe from 5 years back and 5 years onwards.
Ingela
Interesting topic. I feel Covid 19 has opened a new direction in exploration of teaching and learning. People are working from home and basically re inventing and fine tuning skills in online learning.Some of these changes will remain as Universities and other fieIds of work apply this concept. Exciting times ahead.As with everything it has positive and negative aspects as with all domains its a matter of adapting and applying new technology . I am based n Hervey Bay now so I have had to out source work which has provided me with further skills and refining existing ones.
I believe it was required, no information about the virus at the beginning of the pandemic
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