19 October 2014 2 3K Report

I have key question of dynamics and impact of certain epidemic event and volume of modelled population (counted in tens of milions) doesn't allow use of agent based modelling due to computational capacities. Input data consist mainly of modelled population distribution within the cell grid (not internally structured) and disease development is based on existing differetion equations (devised from S-I-R model). I've already read some papers on the topic but spatially explicit context was not considered. Has there been published any cell-size dependet algorithm for spatio-temporal epidemic dynamic and development (rules for spreading from cell to cell) based on local population density (in cell) and actual disease basic reproduction number (R) and other structural epidemic properties? Thanks for reply.

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