I can't really wrap my head around this and maybe somebody can help me.

I conducted an experimental study with a 2x2 between-subjects design (n = 50 per condition). I have the following variables:

  • Fixed factor 1 (dichotomous, experimental manipulation of stimulus)
  • Fixed factor 2 (dichotomous, experimental manipulation of stimulus)
  • DV (metric, a scale from the questionnaire)
  • Covariate (metric, a scale from the questionnaire)
  • Moderator (metric, a scale from the questionnaire)

I first ran the base ANOVA model with the following terms:

  • Factor 1
  • Factor 2
  • Factor 1 * Factor 2
  • Covariate

Nothing was significant. Out of curiosity, I included the moderator by adding the following terms in addition to the above:

  • Moderator
  • Moderator * Factor 1
  • Moderator * Factor 2
  • Moderator * Factor 1 * Factor 2

What happened is that Factor 1 * Factor 2 became significant (after being non-significant in the base model) as well as the three-way interaction Moderator * Factor 1 * Factor 2.

So the 2 issues I am struggling with are the following:

  • Why did the interaction of Factor 1 * Factor 2 become significant (p = .036) even though it was not even close (p = .581) in the base model without the moderator?
  • How do I make sense of the three-way interaction and how can I best report it?
  • For the two-way interaction, I guess that I would report the marginal means of the DV in the 4 conditions and plot them with lines. This option is provided by SPSS.

    But for the three-way interaction, if I understand correctly, the above two-way interaction between experimental conditions is not uniform, but differs across various levels of the metric moderator (e.g., the two-way interaction might be reinforced/attenuated/reversed/non-significant at certain values of the moderator). But SPSS doesn't seem to offer an option to plot this in the ANOVA menu.

    I know that the PROCESS macro by Hayes features conditional effects at -1 SD, mean, and +1 SD values of the moderator as well as Johnson-Neyman areas of significance. So I guess I would need something in this direction. Or am I mixing up things here?

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