01 January 1970 8 8K Report

Do you think scientists are more susceptible to concluding that a false positive is a real positive or that a false negative is a real negative?

As I understand,

A) A false positive is when a scientist concludes that an experiment/assay succeeded when actually it failed.

B) A false negative is when a scientist concludes that an experiment/assay failed when actually it succeeded.

A scientist can waste a lot of resources on a false positive if (s)he doesn't notice that the material (s)he is testing is not what (s)he thinks it is. All observations are irrelevant to what you think you are studying as well as anything you publish about it.

A scientist could dismiss a powerful medical drug by falling for a false negative. The drug works. You just didn't test its properties well never to return to it ever again. Are theorists more susceptible to falling for false positives and experimentalists are more susceptible to falling for false negatives, for instance? For theorists, maybe we talking about models more than assays.

Also do you think scientists are conditioned to look out for false positives or false negatives more so? Which one is more dangerous to science?

Nearly all experiments and theories require optimization so false positives and false negatives are certainly possible occurrences.

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