Nowadays everybody in Research gate and many other medias are discussing about this disaster, but Who will suffer as a result of the slowdown in economic activity amid the pandemic and lockdown?
I think the real numbers of injuries and deaths are ten times greater than the advertiser.
Please see the link below.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The USA for sure in terms of real counts and deaths. They have exceeded all countries, simply because they were unprepared and didn't believe it was dangerous. NO doubt they will suffer the most, especially those who are poor and without health coverage.
I follow the numerical developments about the disease from the Worldometer (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/). I think that the economic problems after the illness will increase very much all over the world. In my opinion, anyone who can't gain money from the disease process will suffer from the slowdown in the economy.
The true number of COVID-19 cases is much larger than official global. Limited testing capacity and the difficulty of finding and identifying asymptomatic cases has likely caused many patients to go undiagnosed. COVID-19 tests can also produce false negatives if they aren't administered properly or if a patient isn't shedding enough virus to be detected in a sample.
You can visit this site to find out the number of cases and death.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
It is clear that the exact number of cases / deaths far exceeds what is counted.
Everybody will suffer!
28th April, 2020:
Coronavirus Cases: 3,088,278;
Deaths: 212,801;
Recovered: 935,168;
Currently Infected Patients:1,940,309
In Mild Condition:1,883,987 (97%) Serious or Critical: 56,322 (3%))
Cases which had an outcome: 1,147,969
Recovered / Discharged: 935,168 (81%)
Deaths: 212,801 (19%)
Dear Dr. Parisa Ziarati
You may find interesting to look at the following study made by Financial Times where according to them "...mortality statistics show 111,000 deaths in excess of normal levels across 14 countries analysed by the FT...":
https://amp.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c?__twitter_impression=true
In addition, there are estimates that only in Guayaquil-Ec the numbers are very different if compared to those already published (a 7100 diference only in 1 city: Guayaquil):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/world/americas/ecuador-deaths-coronavirus.html
Dear P. Contreras;
This is just what is known in developing countries, for other Africa, the Near East, Asia, etc. .....
First of all, diagnostic criteria are used differently. While some diagnoses are only made with the test, the reliability of the tests are also discussed. This difference affects the data. There are cases whose clinic is compatible with COVID-19, but the test result is negative. In most countries, there is distrust of official figures. It is common in most countries that the real figures are higher than the official figures.
Dear Prof. Chaib Rachid
In Guayaquil, Ec. the number of deceased is so huge that yesterday the major of the city---after been in a bed almost 7 weeks due to the chimera---got up & asked their president to resign (he is hiding together with relatives & political party members in Galapagos island).
In Guayaquil, there are dead bodies everywhere. This lady---the mayor of the city---deserves attention from the international community, she is very brave.
CC Parisa Ziarati
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/22/ecuador-guayaquil-mayor-
Yes, this is what happens in all poor countries and where we governors are imposed by the army and the mafia, .. the decree. As a result, we do not even know the name of death and by what, he was deceased !!! So, we cannot know who died by COVID-19 and other things and you have an example in front in Yemen, in series, in Latin America, in Africa, etc. We don't even talk about it in the media ...
Very interesting discussion although we all know the truth is so bitter than they announced !
They will suffer from covid-19 and after the crisis, they will suffer from food, from the economy. what will come is very difficult especially for poor countries, God help us!
Another crueler world war is to be expected than the previous ones. And the Covid-19 will still harvest lives for a period of one to two years if not more.
Dear Prof. Chaib Rachid
Ecuador is not a poor country, please check the GPD for the last years:
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=ecuador+GPD
Respect to the "mafia politics" issue, I agree totally with you. We call them Oligarchs. Oligarch´s behavior during SARS-CoV-20 times, a sad one.
CC. Parisa Ziarati
Dear prof. P. Contreras;
Yes, you are right for the equator, except that it is the reality in poor countries and those which are governed by the military and the mafia.
Indeed Dear Prof. Chaib Rachid As in my very poor country Venezuela.
From being one of the richest, now thanks to chavismo is the poorest one.
CC Parisa Ziarati
And it looks like in Ec. the president still wants to have some popularity despite the number of unreported deceases... in addition, thousand of venezuelan refugees in Ec. are returning back. How many are already infected?... soon it will be a really sad story to tell... the quarantine has been completely broken in this border vnzlan city.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/04/returning-venezuelans-forced-stirring-pot-diseases-200408195801387.html
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2020/04/20/838746457/covid-19-numbers-are-bad-in-ecuador-the-president-says-the-real-story-is-even-wo
Everyone suffers, based on the economic and healthcare situation in their own country, and personal circumstances.
In terms of personal circumstances, those who can work from home are slightly better off. People in the production and service sectors suffer more.
The impact of caring for a dependant/ special needs person is not negligible either.
One thing that I did not understand, in this crisis and Germany to order a batch of armament with a hundred war plane, why? after COVID-19, what is it?
May be sufferer are people who are living in low profile, especially daily labourers, migrant workers, road side beggars. Further small scale vendors, road side tea and coffee stalls and many more units and their poor owners are badly affected. If things continue further we can't assess the situation in future. When microbe is making disaster we are in helpless, but we are anticipating the miracles in the coming days.
I advise hygiene, it is very important whatever our standard of living and our place. This is where all contamination begins.
Attached my contribution to understand the biological risk, even Covid-19. good reading :
https://www.umc.edu.dz/index.php/fr/component/k2/item/2056-les-risques-lies-aux-agresseurs-biologiques-covid-19
Economy is fully down otherwise it could be the million dollar question.
Covid-19: according to the WHO, the virus could "never disappear", even with a vaccine. So what we have left is hygiene and health education.
When there is politics in pandemics, and lobbies intervening, the situation becomes difficult. What remains is prevention and hygiene and raise your hands to heaven "god is great" !!!
Always, I say that we must not let go. The danger is always present so stay at home 15 days instead of half an hour at the hospital: prevention, prevention ....
Research in the field of virology on the analysis of the specificity of the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus shows that in order to calculate the real number of new infections of citizens with this virus, the numbers published in the media are reported in the official statistics of the number of new infections (based on the tests performed). for the presence of Coronavirus in the body) multiply by 6-10 (depending on the specificity of the pandemic development and the number of tests carried out in a given country). Greetings,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
It is quite difficult to unearth the real number when unfortunately the national or state authorities have tendencies to undisclosed it.
