Some people hope that outbreaks of the new coronavirus will wane as temperatures rise, but pandemics often don’t behave in the same way as seasonal outbreaks..
Maybe the virus ultimately will cause hot weather, with grounded planes?
WORLDWIDE--Very hot summer?...Because the lack of airplanes flying, means that the high altitude cloud seeding the 37 million flights do every minute of every day, has been lost--so that means those contrail clouds will not be there to reflect the sun's heat back into space? See the article from 2010, https://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Bright-Green/2010/0201/Airplane-contrails-and-their-effect-on-temperatures
I did a painting about this effect, above, at www.ecoseeds.com/art3.html with the title: "Title: "Mysterious signs in the skies above downtown Palo Alto, autumn 2016--the jet contrails are exhaust particles several miles high forming ice cirrus clouds, an interesting cloud-seeding planetary science-experiment, where in the United States alone there are 5,000 planes airborne at any given time, and daily 87,000 planes fly over the USA, and worldwide over 37 million flights per year." Acrylics on canvas, 8" x 8" Painting #51 in catalogue. Copyright image and text © 2016 by Craig Carlton Dremann, all right reserved.
Not enough time has passed to make that call. It may take a year or more to fully figure this out but you bring up a very good question. With the pandemic in both the North and Southern Hemispheres more weather observations can be compared. The biggest problem is the way different governments are applying lockdowns or no lockdowns makes it more difficult to study the effects of “warmer” or other weather variables. Correlating the spread of a new virus against weather variations, human nature, or other factors will not be an easy task. Thanks for bringing up this question.
Reuben Reyes Thanks a lot for mentioning. Considering different factors it will not really be an easy task. I hope, in the future, scientists will make their call in this aspect.
I previously descibed the role of weather and climatic conditions in the risk of respiratory "problems" -- maybe it woulb be usefull
Article Influence of weather and seasonal variations in temperature ...
Preprint Age- and gender-related changes in the upper airways correla...
Alex
UPDATED MAY 2, 2020 - Extrapolated numbers of total cases for next 2-3 weeks, with striking results anticipated for USA, Russia, and the World for new cases and deaths, on an Excel Spreadsheet.
--Worldwide on MAY 7 may produce 4 million total cases, mostly being contributed by the USA (36K/day), Russian (8K/day), Brazil (6.7K/day) and UK (6.2K/day), with additional contributions by Spain, Peru, India, Turkey, Italy, Canada, etc.
--USA by May 16, adding 500,000 new cases, for a total 1.5 million cases, is the projected curve.
--USA deaths curve is anticipating doubling to only by 124,000 by June 1, but that might be too optimistic? Because of the desire to stop the lock down in many states, including armed protesters invading the State legislature in Michigan, by mid-to-late May the curve may start an upward trend again?
--My Excel chart is open, so that anyone can download it, and will be able to update it periodically as I have. The key to how I am charting the future numbers, is based on the days for the numbers to double. I am saving this spreadsheet in a earlier Excel file format, of XLS, so no matter how old your program is, you can still open the spreadsheet and use it. My spreadsheet is also available under my "Projects" listing on my Researchgate page.
--Page 5 of the spreadsheet, is another look at the pandemic numbers--the relationship between the number of cases, and what each country spends annually on their military, to see if excessive spending on militaries, removes funds from countries when needed for pandemics, and cripples their ability to respond quickly, for example.
Shihab A. Shahriar Correlated to your question, the findings stated on Article Association between ambient temperature and COVID-19 infecti...
that showing no evidence supporting that case counts of COVID-19 could decline when the weather becomes warmer, corroborating our statement in our publication regarding that causing virus inactivation including as probably ever occurred to SARS-CoV and later-predictable be happened to SARS-CoV-2 that causing COVID-19:Preprint Any contribution of the season change to the spread of COVID...
Amin, Firman Zulkifli, Sari, Mila Kurnia, & Amin, Zulkifli. (2020, April 26). Any contribution of the season change to the spread of COVID-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2?. Zenodo. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3766584
Please go through the attached article.
Article The Effects of Temperature and Relative Humidity on the Viab...
Of course climate change is a significant issue for emerging diseases but not yet any significant relationship has been established between warm weather and destruction of Corona.
The colder weather of the winter (in the northern hemisphere where most people live) will bring the flu season and as a result many more people will get worse if they catch the corona virus.
Please take a look at this useful RG link.
Article Effects of temperature and humidity on the spread of COVID-1...
Also, see the RG links below.
Article The nexus between meteorological parameters and COVID-19 pan...
Article Effect of meteorological factors on COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh
Article Impact of meteorological parameters on COVID-19 pandemic: A ...
Article Impact of meteorological factors on the COVID-19 transmissio...
FACT: Exposing yourself to the sun or temperatures higher than 25°C DOES NOT protect you from COVID-19. You can catch COVID-19, no matter how sunny or hot the weather is. Countries with hot weather have reported cases of COVID-19. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public/myth-busters#:~:text=FACT%3A%20Exposing%20yourself%20to,of%20COVID%2D19.
From the evidence so far, the COVID-19 virus can be transmitted in ALL AREAS, including areas with hot and humid weather. Regardless of climate, adopt protective measures if you live in, or travel to an area reporting COVID-19. The best way to protect yourself against COVID-19 is by frequently cleaning your hands. By doing this you eliminate viruses that may be on your hands and avoid infection that could occur by then touching your eyes, mouth, and nose. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/nepal-documents/novel-coronavirus/un-rumour-tracking-english-issue-2.pdf?sfvrsn=bd68b830_2#:~:text=From%20the%20evidence%20so%20far,mouth%2C%20and%20nose.
Many had hoped that the new coronavirus would go away as the summer weather warmed and got more humid. Despite the fact that the virus does not do well in heat, the hot summer temperatures had no real effect on it.. Some strains of the virus can change depending on the environment. They may survive and thrive in various geographic regions or climates. There is no way to accurately predict how the virus responds in heat and humidity, or for that matter, cool and dry temperatures, outside laboratory experiments.. https://www.webmd.com/lung/coronavirus-heat
Check https://www.healthline.com/health-news/warm-weather-wont-stop-spread-of-coronavirus
UPDATE COVID Extrapolations-- Because we did not do like China and India, millions of Covid tests per day... we have allowed the virus to hang around long enough to mutate, considering that it has a new generation every 2-3 weeks, and now more infectious strains are appearing?
If every country purchased the India "PathoCatch" Covid tests... only costs $5-7 and works like a pregnancy test, we could stop the pandemic cold in 1-3 months.
Attached is my updated extrapolations--Even with the vaccines, projecting 750,000 US deaths by Dec. 2021, and total world cases 200 million by April 30, 2021?
Why? Because we are not testing EVERYONE weekly for 3-4 weeks, and separating out every positive from the rest of the populations, until they test negative.
Hello Shihab
Click the link of Research paper below it has some details.
Preprint Roles of meteorological conditions in COVID-19 transmission ...
Will warm weather kill off COVID-19? Is there any relationship between COVID-19 and meteorological parameters
There are some early hints that Covid-19 may also vary with the seasons. The spread of outbreaks of the new disease around the world seems to suggest it has a preference for cool and dry conditions, although it is worth noting that the virus has appeared in countries with a wide range of climates, including hot humid ones.
An unpublished analysis comparing the weather in 500 locations around the world where there have been Covid-19 cases seems to suggest a link between the spread of the virus and temperature, wind speed and relative humidity. Another unpublished study has also shown higher temperatures are linked to lower incidence of Covid-19, but notes that temperature alone cannot account for the global variation in incidence.
Further as-yet-unpublished research predicts that temperate warm and cold climates are the most vulnerable to the current Covid-19 outbreak, followed by arid regions. Tropical parts of the world are likely to be least affected, the researchers sa