I'm doing a reliability study on a diagnostic procedure in detecting a type of cancer. I've had had 15 raters report how certain they are in their assessment, using a Visual Analogue Scale from 0-100.
Now I want to see if there is an association between each raters level of certainty and their accuracy. For each case a rater can only be either accurate or inaccurate, thus my dichotomous dependent variable.
Ideally I would like to statistically 'punish' raters who are dead certain, but inaccurate, or lucky-guessing by being accurate, but uncertain, while 'rewarding' raters who know when they are likely inaccurate or are certain when they have right to be. I'm looking for a test that can reflect and quantify this.
Any suggestions and how to do it in Stata or SPSS?