Dear Javed

Over the past 15 years we have been developing what is known as a "Life Safety Model" (LSM) which is an agent-based model used to he;lp to improve the emergency planning for floods. In the model people, buildings and vehicles are represented as agents. The model uses the output in the form of spatio-temporal velocity and depth grids from a two dimensional flood model. The agents interact with the floodwave at each time step and the model allows decision makers to have an estimate of the time it will take people to evacuate the area at risk from flooding, as well as the number of fatalities.

The primary value of using the LSM agent-based model to forecast the risk to people is not to forecast the exact number of fatalities, (there is a high degree of uncertainty in this), but to assess if emergency management interventions (e.g. improvements in flood warnings and evacuation routes) can make a significant difference in reducing the predicted risk to people. The model has been applied in the UK, Italy, Canada, USA, Malaysia, Japan and Australia, to name a few.

There are a number of papers and presentations that have been given on this model see here: http://www.lifesafetymodel.net/publications.html

The latest paper we have written on this model which was published in the Journal of Flood Risk Management is available here: Article Use of an agent based model and Monte Carlo analysis to esti...

I hope that this is of help.

Darren

For modelling check the Belief–Desire–Intention (BDI) model that is fundamentally reliant on folk psychology.

For frameworks, check JADE and Repast Simphony.

Kindly refer to this paper for more details regarding the Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) in the domain of Emergency Response:

“Agent-Based Simulation for Large-Scale Emergency Response: A Survey of Usage and Implementation”