International conference “Consciousness 2024” August 26-30, 2024 Russian Academy of Sciences with the participation of the national academies of sciences of Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, scientific centers of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, China, India and other countries within the framework of the section of the World Congress “Systems Theory” , algebraic biology, artificial intelligence: mathematical foundations and applications" (hereinafter referred to as the Congress) The Forum "Consciousness: from problem formulation to mathematical models" is holding the CONFERENCE "CONSCIOUSNESS-2024".
Section "Methodological aspects of forecasting"
Section co-chairs:
- Ryabchikova Natalia Afanasyevna, Doctor of Biological Sciences; Innovation center Skolkovo, Moscow State University. M.V. Lomonosov. e-mail:[email protected]
- Godarev-Lozovsky Maxim Grigorievich,Head of the Laboratory-Department of “Forecasting Research” of the Institute of IIPV (Moscow - St. Petersburg), Doctor of Philosophy (PhD), corresponding member of PANI. e-mail: [email protected]. 8 (950) 038 57 90.
Scientific secretary of the section:
- Poltarakova Varvara Alexandrovna,master. e-mail:[email protected]
Problems of the section's work
Forecasting as one of the types of intellectual activity in a broad sense is the ability to discover factors and predict the main trends that underlie fundamental science and influence its development. There is a need to identify areas for expanding knowledge and assess the priority of the main areas of science. One of the main directions can be considered the development of a methodology for philosophical forecasting, namely: finding means and resources for the development of science, predicting the consequences of this development, and identifying its long-term forecasts. Of great importance for the success of results in any field is the determination of a person’s intellectual abilities to make adequate decisions in a problem situation. For this N.A. Ryabchikova at Moscow State University named after M.V. Lomonosov has developed a computer psychological testing program “Forecast 2.5”, which allows one to determine a person’s cognitive abilities. Such properties of the brain as consciousness and thinking make it possible to predict human behavior in any, and especially important, problem situation that requires quick and adequate decision-making. Understanding the causes and predicting tragic events requires complex efforts based on the synthesis of various natural sciences, as well as the humanities, which have information about cataclysms of the past. At the same time, the practical orientation of forecasting, such as, for example, determining the early stage of diseases, early career guidance, monitoring the behavior of animals before natural or man-made disasters requires comprehension and special attention of scientists and the state. But forecasting also requires a conceptual solution to some fundamental problems of mathematics and cosmology, the theory of time, the theory of harmony, chronology, the problem of direct extraction of energy from the vacuum, as well as the connection between energy, information, consciousness, the problem of intelligent AI, etc. It is necessary to give competent answers to the following series questions.
- What systemic factors influence science and what is the role of the scientist’s consciousness in its progress?
- What are the specifics of such a forecasting object as science?
- How to determine the forecast time horizon?
- What are the forecast alternatives?
- How to combine search and target approaches to forecasting?
- In what areas of fundamental science are breakthroughs possible and where can they be used?
- What are the limitations for the development of science?
- What is the active role of the scientific community?
- How to achieve completeness of predictive models and continuity of forecast?
- How to realize independence and complexity in the analysis of information about the future?
- How to practically predict man-made and natural disasters, as well as carry out appropriate monitoring?
- How and by what criteria should forecasting experts be selected?
- What radical changes are coming in fundamental science?
- See the work of the section "Methodological aspects of forecasting", conducted by the Laboratory-Department of Forecasting Research of the Institute of IIPV (World Congress "Systems Theory, Algebraic Biology, Artificial Intelligence: Mathematical Foundations and Applications", June 26-30, 2023)https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wyqg7ptHep8&t=4s
Remote participation in the conference is allowed.
The organizers ensure the publication of a collection of conference materials.
Registration and acceptance of abstracts for the conference is carried out until August 1, 2024 at the address:https://congrsysalgbai.ru/ru/#main
After registration, please provide similar information to the scientific secretary of the section V.A. Poltarakova. e-mail: [email protected]
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