In Pakistan, we have not much resources like china, New Zealand. My personal opinion is that, we must have to exposure ourselves once in a while to get immunized ourselves. Not all the strains are dangerous, life like a coward is not a solution. While exposure, we have to take preliminary precautions and medicines. Virus's most often symptoms are fever, sore throat, muscle aches, lost of smell. If anyone feels like that, then he/ she can quarantine itself. I personally think lockdown is not a solution because in this way a number of psychological problems would be increased which are more lethal than virus's effects.
What do you think?
Please give me your point of views, I'm asking from virologist, and those whose field is closely related to virology or immunology.
Dear Sana
I think that lockdown and quarantine are the only solution if the virus spread is growing fast.
In italy thanks to lockdown we pass from more than 800 death/day at the end of march to 30 death of today.
Some countries tried to delay the lockdown (eg UK, US or Brazil) or apply a partial lockdown (Sweden) but if you are looking to the virus progression and death people/population this approach seems to fail.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
The problem of Covid is that about 10% of infected people need the support of an intensive care unit and the bad in intensive care unit are limited (in italy were 5000 at the beginning of coronavirus pandemy) therefore if we are able to maintain low the numbers all the people can be assisted in a good way while if the virus spread is to fast, the intensive care unit will be saturated and therefore the doctors have to choose who survive and who die, as happen during the war.
This is what we experienced in italy and expecially in the north of italy.
Is possible that in countries with hot weather the virus will be less aggressive because the sun is able to reduce the virus amount that infect a people but this is just an hypothesys
What is it sure, that surgical masks are able to slow down a lot the virus spread and i think that the extensive use of it from the first days of the virus spread may slow down the virus diffusion and do not make the application of the lockdown indispensable, as happen in italy where unfortunately, the mask were not available at the beginning of the virus spread and the WHO at those time, did not still suggest its use.
But do not think that covid is like the normal flu, and that heard immunity is a solution. Vaccine is a solution and while we are waiting for a vaccines we have to maintain low the numbers to guarantee good medical support to the infected people.
best regards
Manuele
Dear Madam,
I agree with your points, the issue with Covid-19 is the number of asymptomatic carriers !. The way the virus react in each and every body is different. What we should bear in mind is that it has proved to be lethal among old aged people and kids also are not at bay. But,the wearing of basics such as mask(proper way of putting it), washing of hands and sanitizing can aid in controlling the spread.
Hello Sana Arshad , hope everything is fine at your end. Well I absolutely agree with Manuele Martinelli .
The concern is primarily with developing 'herd immunity' in the community. According to the results that I found regarding mutation, I believe the virus must be kept in small clusters in the community reducing it's inhabitant activity rather reduced. Getting exposed to the virus for immunization doesn't seem to be a good idea at all. Resources is not a key feature to decide upon lockdown status, rather you may think in this way that, getting expose will have a high strain on medical system.
We are recently studying the MHC bindings and found some positive and effective reports for south-east asia. Let's hope for better days to come.
Cheers!
Here I attach my recent paper, in case you find it interesting.
Conference Paper New Computational Analysis to Identify the Mutational Change...
Stay Safe.
Tathagata Dey
Thanks for such an useful information. I really appreciate your answer!
“Herd immunity theory will not be effective to protect populations against coronavirus.”
Aiming for Covid-19 herd immunity in the US would lead to massive death tolls, Anthony Fauci warns (14 August, CNN)
It's fair to stay at home during pandemic crisis and quarantine is a tool for prevention and control. Science is more important than emotion or politics in current situation, Fauci says.
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