I want to evaluate extreme events in a basin specially perennial rivers , African Rivers Case i try to use the statistical methods of extreme analysis like the POT and general Pareto methods. but the main challenge face to me is that how can I select the specific thresholds to evaluate with out a given depth of flow that results in a flood or a drought? How can i define the thresholds, based on the data i have? If you look at the observed runoff for one of stations in the catchment, how will determine the times when there were extreme events? floods or drought? if any one know some methods please put here with some references,thank you