Taking a close look at the Sudanese real GDP per capita at 2017 PPP from WDI. it shows that since the first exportation of oil in 1999 even up to 2018, the real GDP has been on the increase even with the internal conflict that lead to the cessation of south Sudan in 2011. Does it mean the internal conflict doesn't affect their economy or there's a strong government polices..
Of course not. Internal conflicts could, at first and for a small period of time, lead to an increase in GDP and in turn in GDP per capita, especially, if the conflicts are fueled and financed by foreign powers. However, if the conflicts persisted, prolonged, and remained unsettled, the foreign supply of funds, eventually, dries up which creates a bigger problem for the country (The economy deteriorates, foreign interests dwindle and diminish that lead to decreasing per capita income). In some cases, when the conflict is over, the country may witness a period of rebuilding, recovery and prosperity. Unfortunately, this period is short lived. For a better picture of Sudan’s per capita income, see the data for 2011, 2018 and 2019 and the forecast for 2020-20124, the picture is not as rosy as one thinks and wishes.
The issue is not the GDP, the issue is the distribution of the GDP. We have to look into development rather than growth
The issue is not distribution (without growth, per capita income will stagnate at best if not decline even if GDP is evenly distributed). What is needed is an inclusive growth that achieves and maintains a balance between economic growth and sustainable development. Economic Growth is a necessary condition but not sufficient to achieve societal goals. And for sure, internal conflicts are NOT a source of economic growth.
@Manhal Shotar, I might not totally agree on the last statement as conflict might not be a determinant of economic growth. Some researches such as Barro (1991), Barro and Lee(1994), Levine and Renelt (1992) , Sala-i-Martin and Xavier (1997), easterly et am (1993) all confirmed that war or political instability has an effect on economic growth. Either positive or negative..
Dear Sir, there is a big difference between WARS and internal conflicts. Please reread my answer.
Its okay.. However, according ICRG methodology, the sub component of internal conflicts includes: Civil War/Coup Threat ,Terrorism/Political Violence and
Civil Disorder
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Hamid Muili During the war most of the fighting was in the South Sudanese Territory. The central government was always able to hold off the rebels in a way where they didn't get near North Sudan where almost all economic activity was. You should read more into the history of the country and away from economic measures and maybe come back to economic measures after.
Thanks