We live in a complex and changing world and constantly dealing with our complex an environment (for example, we deal with our businesses, organizations, families, children, pets, etc., which are also complex systems.).This means we have to affront with unexpected events every day. In order to be able to do this, our organism must be robust (to function despite certain disorders).
Robustness allows us to deal with unexpected events, long enough, by adapting to them. Also, in order to be able to respond quickly and appropriately way to unexpected changes, we must try to anticipate them through certain expectations that we derive from our experience. There are three ways to do this: by predicting, by determining, or by expecting the most likely behavior of a complex system. In which of these three cases will we be the most ready to expect the unexpected and why?
There are certain moments that we expect the unexpected:
1- Sudden demise of a family member who has been sick and then family disputes over will
2- Postponement of examination or test prior to a strike or any unforeseen incident. So we expect this unexpected thing to happen.
3- Postponement of any wedding event prior to a sudden death or information of death or loss,
4. Flight rescheduling or cancellation, due to any loss.
and many such cases
this solely takes place once we priorly expect everything and even anticipate the worst scenarios, thence we are full-equipped to face what is next with zero fear.
There are certain moments that we expect the unexpected:
1- Sudden demise of a family member who has been sick and then family disputes over will
2- Postponement of examination or test prior to a strike or any unforeseen incident. So we expect this unexpected thing to happen.
3- Postponement of any wedding event prior to a sudden death or information of death or loss,
4. Flight rescheduling or cancellation, due to any loss.
and many such cases
"Expecting the unexpected" is just a paradoxical formulation of saying "having no clear expectations", "not knowing what to expect". This can happen, for example, in purely exploratory research, before the stage of working hypotheses.
Five years ago, it was snowing in the mountainous part of Montenegro in April and destroyed nuts. Every April, the locals expect the unexpected. Snow in April.
To K. Kassner ,Munira Tharwani, Amjed L. Jabbar ,
Thank you for useful answers.
Kind regards
The answer is from the mathematical point of view 'easy'. Nevertheless, technically, it is usually quite difficult as we must find the quantification of the observed phenomenon.
From your question is obvious that we speak about society and its various segments: business, stock markets, states, cities, families, etc.
What you have to do is to find a measurable characteristic(s) of the -- obviously and without any doubt -- complex system under consideration.
Usually, we are not capable to measure and even understand the complex system that we want to describe.
The trick is to apply entropy measure(s) to acquire a quantity from some rich data stream produced by the very system. Once we get such data, we can play with them the game hide & search. Usually, the system's outputs are so complicated that the only way to create a valid hypothesis about dependencies among input data and the system's behavior is to apply AI.
This is exactly what is done in the following paper where the complex system is made of the cardiovascular system & cardiovascular center within the human (rabbit) bodies.
The whole procedure is described in detail there. It is applicable into any other scientific discipline. All theoretical tools are described there in detail here
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/340460356_Application_of_Machine_Learning_and_Complexity_in_Medicine_Prediction_of_Drug_Induced_Arrhythmias_in_Rabbit_Model_up_to_One_Hour_Before_Their_Onset_early_version_requested_due_to_COVID-19_unfinished_m
Thank you Mr Jiří Kroc ,
for answer and sharing your work.
Kid regards.
Sir
It may be anywhere
But it is mostly happen in corporate sector where money is involved in my opinion
Growing up as a kid, I learnt from watching Kung Fu movies to always expect the unexpected. It is however easier said than done. As humans we always try to look for an explanation or a reason for the unexpected occuring. The fact that it is unexpected implies we probably are not ready for it, from sudden death to winning a lottery. But knowing what to expect might make a dull life...
Unexpected events are a part of life—some might even say they’re what keeps our life interesting. How we prepare for them can make a huge difference in their ultimate outcomes for our grantmaking and our communities. By following the five simple steps above, you’ll be ready to handle just about anything life throws your way. https://trust.guidestar.org/five-ways-to-prepare-for-the-unexpected
Kindly check https://finallyfamilyhomes.org/prepare-for-the-unexpected/
There are times when life seems easy and everything is working out just as desired. During these times, stress-ridden thoughts such as “how will I get through this?” or “what happens when….?” rarely enter our awareness and front-of-mind thinking. Proper and effective planning, however, mandates taking into consideration the “what if’s” that happen when you’re not expecting them. I am referring to potentially life-altering experiences that you rarely contemplate when everything is working just fine. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/michaelkay/2017/10/31/how-to-prepare-for-the-unexpected-before-it-happens/amp/
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