How to tell if someone is lying?

You check to see if his name is Donald Trump? If so, then it is a safe bet that, if you see his lips moving, then he is lying (he's been measured by politically independent fact-checkers as lying 70% + of-the-time in his public assertions) *hee*hee*

Thank you dear Bob for prompt response. I had his Cartoon on my question already. Here some excerpt from the attached link:

Have a three-way! (Politicians are amazing at this)

"If you think someone is lying, ask them the same question in three different ways. You might think that it is to catch any differences in their response, but what I’m telling you to look for just the opposite: is there a scripted aspect to their response? Do they use the same careful phrasing over and over again? It allows them to answer the question without revealing anything they don't want you to know. If it feels like a prepared and scripted response, that is a sign that they’re either lying or not telling you the whole story."

https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/281593

@ Professor Omid

When I was a young man, I lied much-too-often (well, more in the sense of "boasting," than outright premeditated lying to gain an unfair advantage or escape a punishment ... or lying meant to injure anyone, which, thank God! even as a brash young man full- of-testosterone, I wasn't guilty of very often).

I have found (through life's long experience) that lying is a profession best practiced by younger persons. Whenever we get older, and our ability to precisely recall what we said fades, we tend to be less effective liars, and thus, at least most of the wise (gray-bearded) ones, learn the futility of even trying to lie.

I think that the definition of 'wisdom' (maturity as a human being) is the knowledge that it is always better to respond (or pay) with the truth, what can seemingly be easily avoided (or purchased/gained) with a lie.

Some related links:

Trump and Clinton: The two worst things that could happen to America
Why This Is The Worst Presidential Election In US History
Trump & Clinton: Awful Election Picture in a Divided Country

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/16/trump-and-clinton-the-two-worst-things-that-could-happen-to-america-commentary.html

http://www.cracked.com/video_20108_why-this-worst-presidential-election-in-u.s.-history.html

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/438576/trump-clinton-awful-election-picture-divided-country

Georgina Boyd

A liar will trip up as the more they tell lies the harder it is for them to remember which lies they told and to whom. With the advances in technology careful researching will illuminate the lies as they are often recorded unknowingly or knowingly by the media and journalists. When someone is caught out lying they become uncomfortable and give way their nervousness by verbal action and gestures also facial expression skin colour changes they become excited even agitated. When it come to those liars slinging mud at each other then they are both guilty an up right honest person has nothing to hide does not get upset by attempts to assinate their character when there is nothing to assassinate. And if they have made a mistake or two and can be honest about it then people might be inclined to have faith in them. Personally I like neither American presidential candidates as I am not sure what they will do for America or their long term affect on the World. I don't think they have either the integrity or personality to in still confidence in any one we shall wait and see.

José Eduardo Jorge

Dear Mahmoud and all:

After many years of being involved in politics --including as a full time political journalist for a newspaper--, what I can say is that the only way to know when a politician is lying is to be deeply informed on the political context and facts.

This implies something more than just follow the news on TV or read them on the Internet or newspapers, or discuss the news with friends. It requires some personal connection with the political world in the narrow sense of the term,

I've seen that even people who make a living on politics many times are not fully aware of what is really going on. So It is very difficult for ordinary citizens to distinguish by themselves between truths and lies.

Here is where the role of journalism, experts, NGOs, and other organized groups is crucial. Citizens have necessarily to rely on the public deliberation process. If this process fails --that is, if it doesn't work "reasonably" well-- democracy works poorly.

You may tell the greatest lies and wear a brilliant disguise, but you can't escape the eyes of the one who sees right through you. - TOM ROBBINS

Dear Colleagues,

Good Day,

"11 Signs Someone Is Lying To You

1. They change their head position quickly.

2. Their breathing changes.

3. They stand very still.

4. They repeat words or phrases.

5. They provide too much information.

6. They touch or cover their mouth.

7. They instinctively cover vulnerable body parts.

8. They shuffle their feet.

9. It becomes difficult for them to speak.

10. They stare at you without blinking much.

11. They tend to point a lot."....

Please, see the the original article for detail......

http://www.businessinsider.com/11-signs-someone-is-lying-2014-4#

Dear Colleagues,

Good Day,

"10 Ways to Catch a Liar

Experts have 10 tips that can let you know if someone isn't telling you the whole truth.

Tip No. 1: Inconsistencies.

Tip No. 2: Ask the Unexpected.

Tip No. 3: Gauge Against a Baseline

Tip No. 4: Look for Insincere Emotions

Tip No. 5: Pay Attention to Gut Reactions

Tip No. 6: Watch for Microexpressions

Tip No. 7: Look for Contradictions

Tip No. 8: A Sense of Unease

Tip No. 9: Too Much Detail

Tip No. 10: Don't Ignore the Truth.

Extra Tip: Be Trusting".....

Please, see the the original article for detail......

http://www.webmd.com/balance/features/10-ways-catch-liar

Aristidis Matsoukis

Regards

Krishnan Umachandran

Every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized. In the first it is ridiculed, in the second it is opposed, in the third it is regarded as self evident.

Arthur Schopenhauer

Mahfuz Judeh

I'm not upset that you lied to me, I'm upset that from now on I can't believe you.

― Friedrich Nietzsche

Thank you all for sharing your views. I was reading wikiHOW about my question. There is a simple procedure mentioned there. Looking at body language or paying attention to speech and reactions can be helpful in determining if someone is lying to you.

How to Know if Someone is Lying?

Watching Body Language

Paying Attention to Spoken Language

Monitoring A Person’s Reactions

If interested to know details on each of these 3 methods please see the attached link.

http://www.wikihow.com/Know-if-Someone-is-Lying

Cameen Kettanun

Dear Professor Omid,

Walter Fisher, a contemporary American Professor/thinker proposed the narrative paradigm (1987) to portray all kinds of messages as narratives, or story-telling. Fisher pointed out that normal people believe a message not only on the objective/rational ground, where scientific reasoning and evidence are presented; their decision is also subjective, reliant on their emotions and common sense. So based on Fisher's paradigm, lies can be detected by the following means:

1. Lack of coherence: when you hear a message, or "a story" in Fisher's term, and you feel that the beginning, continuation and the end of the story do not hang together well; the story is full of pieces and chunks of information; it is told in a random manner; it sounds patchy. It is probable that this kind of message is not true. This is why professional politicians hire ghostwriters to ensure their speeches sound coherent to the public in order for them to sound believable.

2. Lack of fidelity: when the story you hear does not ring true with the stories you believe to be true in your life, you will become skeptical, and are unlikely to believe the message. This is why liars try to appeal to common beliefs, values, and logical clichés circulated in society to justify their lies, and sound believable.

Well, this is from Walter Fisher's perspective that I would like to share.

Sincerely,

Cameen

Ljubomir Jacić

Why people lie — and how to tell if they are?

How, then, can we best detect whether we are being misled? There is no foolproof way, but there are often clues you can see in behavior that should make you suspicious:

Avoidance of eye contact: Usually someone makes eye contact at least half the time they are talking to you. If you notice them avoiding eye contact or looking down during a specific part of a conversation, they may well be lying.

Change of voice: A variation in pitch of voice or rate of speech can be a sign of lying. So can lots of umms and ahhs.

Body language. Turning your body away, covering your face or mouth, a lot of fidgeting of hands or legs can indicate deception.

Contradicting yourself:. Making statements that just don’t hold together should make you suspicious.

If you lie all the time, even about unimportant things, you are likely to have a problem that will eventually -- if it hasn’t already -- cause you real relationship, financial or legal troubles. Figuring out what is driving you to lie in the first place will help heal this self-destructive behavior. This may mean going into treatment with a therapist to discover why you feel the need to deceive...

http://www.today.com/health/why-people-lie-how-tell-if-they-are-2D80554952

Mohammed Abd Alla Eltoum

make your response to some one that you have doubt as 50% true and 50% false for the first time.the second time you will know if it is 100% true or 100% false.

Liars talk more!

According to a five-day analysis by Politico Magazine, "Trump averaged one falsehood every 3 minutes and 15 seconds over nearly five hours of remarks."

Here some statistics from their much-anticipated first debate, the two US presidential nominees will be scrutinized by the press for how accurate they represented facts:

Clinton's comments were 22 percent "true," 28 percent "mostly true," 22 percent "half true," 15 percent "mostly false," and 11 percent "false," and 2 percent "pants on fire."
Trump's comments were 4 percent "true," 11 percent "mostly true," 15 percent "half true," 17 percent "mostly false," 34 percent "false," and 18 percent "pants on fire."

Where America heading with such potential leaders?

http://www.ibtimes.com/who-tells-more-lies-hillary-clinton-or-donald-trump-truth-o-meter-two-nominees-one-2422143

Comparing Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump on the Truth-O-Meter

Scorecards of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton:

Clinton's statements by ruling

True 69
Mostly True 76
Half True 65
Mostly False 40
False 28
Pants on Fire 7

Trump's statements by ruling

True 13
Mostly True 34
Half True 45
Mostly False 61
False 106
Pants on Fire 55

And the winner takes all!

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/lists/people/comparing-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-truth-o-met/

FORECASTING PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS SINCE 1912

The Primary Model (2016) says: 87%-99% Certain Trump Will Be President

It is 87% to 99% certain that Donald Trump will win the presidential election on November 8, 2016; 87% if running against Hillary Clinton, 99% if against Bernie Sanders. These predictions come from primarymodel.com by Prof. Helmut Norpoth!!! It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election.

Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. Trump won the Republican primaries in both New Hampshire and the South Carolina while Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the Democratic primaries in those states.

What favors the GOP in 2016 as well, no matter if Trump is the nominee or any other Republican, is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year.

What do you think about Professor Norpoth's model? You can download the full forecast PDF document attached

http://primarymodel.com/

@ Dear Professor Omid

We have an expression here in Texas for models such as that proposed by Professor Norpoth ... "it's full of it" ... I'll leave you to imagine what "it" is [and I don't mean just the obvious "error"] *hee*hee*hee* but we have a great abundance of "it" around cow-lots, and especially piled-deeply around our politicians [like our Senator from Texas, Ted Cruz, probably the only politician in America who is nuttier than Trump, and piles "it" higher than Trump]

The national polls reported by Real Clear Politics is probably the best way to track how public sentiment in the presidential race is changing from day-to-day (link below)

Nate Silver (at FiveThirtyEight ... link below) is the best analyst of election probabilites (has the best track-record from previous elections), and re-calculates probabilities daily (based on an analysis of the aforementioned daily poll results). He currently places Clinton's chances of winning at 82.2% and Trump's chances are only 17.8%.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Dear @Bob, Thank you for your comments and introducing two good links. I checked them up. So Primary Model by Prof. Norpoth is of no good.

Ljubomir Jacić

Regarding the lies of politicians and correspondent indicators, the following research bring fine info.

His Lips Are Moving: Pinocchio Effect and Other Lexical Indicators of Political Deceptions

"Using the software program LIWC (Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count), this study used political statements classified as truths and lies by website Politifact.com and examined lexical differences between statement type (lie or truth) and the setting (interactive or scripted) in which the statement was given. In interactive settings (where statements given are prompted by questioning), politicians used shorter sentences, simpler words, and fewer causation statements than statements given in scripted settings (where statements are prepared in advance). Lying politicians used more words and negation statements than truth-tellers in both interactive and scripted settings. In interactive settings, politicians used more first-person pronouns. There were no main effects of deception on use of first- and third-person pronouns. Further, there are no effects of deception on use of negative emotion words or profanity. Results are discussed in terms of the importance of setting for studying lexical differences in deception and implications for the study of deception in political communication..."

Another resourse: Evidence for the Pinocchio Effect: Linguistic Differences Between Lies, Deception by Omissions, and Truths!

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0163853X.2014.942833

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/0163853X.2011.633331?src=recsys

Dear @Ljubomir. Thank you for links and bringing out the Pinocchio Effect. Actually, I had same feeling when I first selected and included Trump-Clinton Pinocchio cartoons in the original question. They are good spices if one is in search of pin pointing to good contemporary liars. Thanks for your feedback.

Dear Colleagues,

Good Day,

“A liar is always lavish of oaths.”

― Pierre Corneille

Dear Colleagues,

Good Day,

A liar begins with making falsehood appear like truth, and ends with making truth itself appear like falsehood.

---- William Shenstone

Dear @Hazim Thank you for the quotes. Inversely, as Mark Twain once said: "If you tell the truth, you don't have to remember anything"

Paul Eisenberg

Dear all,

Please visit the RG page of Dr. Aldert Vrij who is one of the leading scholars in the research of lying and the lie: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Aldert_Vrij

There you can find numerous publications and further references to this topic.

Paul

Dejenie A. Lakew

Dear all,

Lying is a behavior of living in falsehood, to say something that is false, is true. Therefore we can tell some one is lying by simply showing or proving what he/she has said or done is false or wrong. Because falsity and truth are both based on some axiomatic foundations of self evident truths and structures that are built up on them using principles of right thought process and logical reasoning, proving lying as a behavior of living in falsehood has to be based on these rules and established structures of truth. If some one says 2+3= 23, then we have to show that this is false not by simply saying it is, but by following rules and properties of established system of arithmetic that indeed it is false.