As we read reports every year, every month, of most unfortunate/ tragic 'stampede' cases, administrators remain ever clueless about the 'number of people' who might gather in the venues or places, for 'planned' and 'unplanned' events. In India and abroad, it has become a regular phenomenon to loose some of the members (of our own mankind), attending such events. Religious congregations/ assemblies and gatherings (like the cases of Kumbha-mela of North India, Ratha-Yatra/ Car-festival of Odisha, Sabarimala in South India; etc) or political demonstrations (occurring recently throughout the Middle-East, East-Asia, China and now in Delhi), where hundreds of thousands of people can congregate in just a few hours, are just a few of such challenges for local administrators.
But if we see and study such events as a research problem, we see that sometimes people gather all of a sudden (unplanned, as we find from the attached report on a most recent stampede, which happened in Mumbai, India).
Is there any study or finding, linking the 'degree of seriousness of news' to the 'rate of arrival' of people, and 'estimate of the maximum possible gathering' (considering the finite nature of the 'source- population', how ever large it may be)? [Both for 'planned' and un-planned' gatherings.]
Hi Rabinarayan,
This might be helpful:
ESTIMATION OF THE NUMBER OF PEOPLE IN A DEMONSTRATION - Yip & Watson (Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Volume 52, Issue 1, pages 17–26, March 2010)
Cheers,
Jin
Dear Rabi, I suggest you to look at the following references. The first is an inspiring study about group social behaviour in case crowd emergency. The second is a very exhaustive report of the UK Cabinet Office about crowd phenomena.
Mawson, A. R. (2012). Mass panic and social attachment: The dynamics of human behavior. Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
Regards, Andrea
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/understanding-crowd-behaviours-documents
- Badges
- Science topic
- Similar topics
- Mathematics
- Statistics
- Applied Statistics