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1. Half, average and most probable lives of filament lamps
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/301328799_Half_Average_and_most_probable_lives_of_filament_lamps
Article Half, Average, and most probable lives of filament lamps
Filament lamps while functioning are "as good as new". They have exponential failure laws.
"What one can infer ..."?
Overall: this is a quite "mature" technology showing what can be expected after more than a century of experience and mass-production.
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