By all accounts it should take several months to bring the COVID-19 pandemic under control. The "end of globalization" has already been foretold, just check out Amazon for a list of books. Still, some speak of "post-globalization" and others (myself incl.) speak of localization and/or glocalization. We witness aggressive state intervention, closing of borders, physical movement restriction, "social distancing", the collapse of the travel industry, and several other geopolitical changes are certain to happen as a partial result of the pandemic. Contrary to suggestions that more cooperation is the proper response, there is a strong impetus toward the opposite direction, with countries often placing their own national interest over other considerations. What do you think?
Methinks, this is an eye opener. Some argue that globalization has not only allowed for the rapid spread of contagious disease but it has fostered deep interdependence between firms and nations that makes them more vulnerable to unexpected shocks. Now, firms and nations alike are discovering just how vulnerable they are. Such views bring to the table the fact that globalization has actually accelerated a dangerous trend that was already underway.
Dear Dr. Victor N. Roudometof ,
First of all, thanks for initiating the discussion! It's a really top question in current situation. Regarding the topic I will agree that Post-COVID-19 era will be different. But I will not jump to conclusions yet. The situation is changing drastically and it is very difficult to predict what will the world be like after COVID-19. Moreover, sometimes prediction is a thankless job. COVID-19 shows us how our world and human civilization vulnerable, and how the existing system imperfect. The final and more precise diagnose of the situation could be after overcoming the COVID-19. But for sure we will face the rising of localization movement and nationalistic sentiment. But how deep the changes will be? I think that the real scale of changes depends on the scale of consequences of the COVID-19. There is also a little chance that after some time everything can go back to square one. But I'm inclined to think that we will see other world with different rules of the game.
Best regards,
Dr. Vardan Atoyan
On the significance of hope in the face of a pandemic, see this very perceptive piece https://thepointmag.com/examined-life/the-end-is-coming-agnes-callard/
Personally, I think that nothing can stop globalization. Globalization is like modernity. It’s like the French constitution of 1792. Many spoke against it, there was even a restoration after it, but nothing could eraise it. Maybe it would seem like I am using a Heideggerian dialect, but globalization is our destiny.
As for air traffic, it will start again and it will be of double intensity. I totally agree with my friend Victor Rudometov when he speaks of glocalization. I think it is the word that we must adopt if we want to understand our present.
For me, if Victor permits, glocalization Is simply the lack of possible distinction between central and peripheral
I was saying that glow Glocalization Is the possibility to distinguish a peripheral from a center point. But this is actually a status or the condition of a globalized planet.
I was saying that glocalization Is the impossibility to distinguish between the center and the periphery
It will grow more slowly for awhile I would guess....overall... some U.S. manufacturing will return home as national vulnerabilities have clearly emerged.
La información y las comunicaciones van a mantener viva la globalización, y de seguro tendremos barreras al comercio internacional saliendo lo mejor librados cuando termine esta compleja situación, para la cuál no estamos preparados.
The Covid-19 pandemic has ushered in a new normal. There will be an end to many things. Communities are definitely going to be more isolated after this. This has far reaching consequences.
For example, an unfortunate adverse effect of behaviour during social distancing for the Covid-19 pandemic has arisen. There has been a dramatic fall in the number of blood donors in Saudi Arabia a result of social isolation during the Covid-19 Pandemic. Supplies of blood are being depleted. This is likely to be a global phenomenon
If insufficient blood of the correct type is available a woman may die as a result of not being transfused blood for severe acute bleeding following delivery of a child, for example. This will be most challenging for patients with rare blood groups.
This situation will be most challenging for patients with rare blood groups.
I would therefore be grateful if you could consider the answer to the question I posed.
I would be grateful if you could consider this issue .
How can we maintain supplies of blood for transfusion during the Covid-19 pandemic?
https://www.researchgate.net/post/How_can_we_maintain_supplies_of_blood_for_transfusion_during_the_Covid-19_pandemic
For awhile here in the U.S. I'll bet....it becomes a defense initiative to bring home certain key manufacturing.....
The Covid-19 pandemic has scarred the world. It is life now completely unrecognisable in comparison to the freedoms we had a few short months ago.
Whether Covid-19 triggers an economic crisis depends on the ability of industries to adapt to the new normal. In order to achieve this companies are going online i.e. digitalising.
Lockdowns have restricted travel so those industries which have successfully digitalised are thriving. Whilst those businesses that are unable to do so are in danger of collapsing and bringing a significant chunk of the economy down with them. Industries which digitalise will essentially globalise online.
Industries which can not digitalise will either collapse or retain a global physical presence.
In this global technocracy, almost everyone has access to a personal digital device. The limiting factor to successful digitalisation is therefore the industry rather than the public. So, the industries that will survive the Covid-19 crisis are those who either do not need to digitalise or can digitalise completely. For example, even the education system has fully digitalised. From kindergartens to universities; every educational institution is holding online classes. Some are even pre-recorded. Homework is submitted at the click of a button. This new system has resulted in cost savings and one wonders why this was not more common before.
The hospitality business has suffered as it can only partially digitalise. Sit-in restaurants are empty but online take-away services are booming. The role of tele-medicine in the healthcare sector is increasing for outpatient services. Some patients even prefer to have a consultation via telephone or video calls whilst sitting in their own homes. However, many people are unwell and need to be admitted to hospital. So, this sector can’t fully digitise.
Any sector in the economy that can digitalise will thrive under these conditions of the Covid-19 pandemic. Indeed, once the lock downs end these industries may remain fully online having realised the significant benefits of digitalisation.
However, it is difficult to digitalise international travel. Furthermore, now that the world is more digitalised than ever before, we do not need to travel as much as we did before. So, it will be interesting to see what remains of the airline industry when the lock downs end…
The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic that causes Covid-19 disease can be studied in the context of various aspects of globalization processes. On the one hand, the pandemic is global, but it cannot be excluded that through constant mutations new, regional, continental types of Coronavirus strains arise. However, examining the impact of SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus on the global economy and economies of individual countries, there are many aspects and disintegration factors that act inversely to traditionally conducted processes of economic globalization. For example, if the international SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been temporarily interrupted due to the Coronavirus pandemic, including intermodal logistics chains, some production processes may be transferred to other countries. This may lead to a situation where international corporations, which have divided their production processes in previous years into stages implemented in factories and factories located in other countries now because of problems related to supply logistics may go back to the concept of concentration of all manufacturing processes in the same countries, in countries where the company has its headquarters or in countries far away from each other significantly shorter distances. This can lead to many factories returning from developing countries to developed countries despite slightly or significantly higher production costs. In this way, the risk of supply, supply logistics, etc. will be significantly reduced. If such international economic processes are carried out on a large scale in the following months and years, then the processes of economic globalization will reverse.
Greetings.
Dariusz Prokopowicz
I personally feel, there would be the change in economic order and composition of trade of major economies. The countries around the world, in their economic journey, are not in a position to revert back. Therefore, everybody has to accept the pros and cons of Globalization.
I agree with @ Sule Akkoyunlu view; this COVID-19 strengthened the concept of humanity globally. History is witnessed the world has long been globalized in its own pace, though it was slow, but technology became it faster......
More food for thought, https://blogs.imf.org/2020/04/14/the-great-lockdown-worst-economic-downturn-since-the-great-depression/
Our lesson from COVID-19 might cost us Globalization and many other values we built over decades and centuries. We will be forced to at least change the designs and practices of our businesses and routines. The post-COVID-19 World will definitely be different than the one we used to. It may even cause big changes like the economic, social and political orders of the world!
And an affirmative answer from Project Syndicate See https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/covid19-different-than-previous-pandemics-by-shlomo-ben-ami-2020-04?a_la=english&a_d=5e99a5c8e43594072ce0d2f3&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=homepage&a_li=covid19-different-than-previous-pandemics-by-shlomo-ben-ami-2020-04&a_pa=curated&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
COVID-19 is not the end of globalization but a adding a smart dimension to the globalization.
I have a different opinion. I think that COVID-19 changes the life paradigm around the world and in the next months the ICT usage and its applications may be increased quickly.
Therefore, it seems the COVID-19 can be considered as an accelerator for ICT development and globalization.
Right now, the globalization issue is based on virtual communications and doesn't mean physical communications.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/greater-depression-covid19-headwinds-by-nouriel-roubini-2020-04?mod=article_inline
It is too early to speak of the end of globalization or a shift of power within international relations. Rather, we are witnessing the fragmentation of globalization.
preliminary studies suggest that the number of international, teachers, students, conferences will reduce. Internationalization at home will increase. Solidarity among people in the continental blocks will increase.The importance of continental block as a common market will increase
Nations will learn significantly from COVID-19. Globalisation may have new rules.
I believe the episode of COVID-19 will not end globalisation, but will cause it to evolve. People will rely more on technology to be connected to a global world!
Please have a look.
https://www.dhakatribune.com/opinion/op-ed/2020/05/19/the-post-pandemic-threats
There is no question of' end of globalization' soon. Rather it will get a new shape. There will be shift in globalization paradigm. Fighting with COVID-19, introduction of 4IR with massive advancement in information technology, artificial intelligence combining with advances in biological science, virtual and physical systems of manufacturing will be one of the major shifts at the global level. We will then see, how globalization gets new shape in the changed global, regional and local context.
a commentary that might be relevant to the question See https://www.europeansociologist.org/issue-45-pandemic-impossibilities-vol-1/theorising-%E2%80%93-%E2%80%9Cit%E2%80%99s-not-end-world-we-know-it-and-i-don%E2%80%99t-feel
I think the COVID-19 pandemic do not end of "globalization" rather continuing but the center of gravity of it is moving to other continent and global supply chains will undoubtedly change. Victor N. Roudometof
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-04/01/c_138938576.htm
https://www.voanews.com/covid-19-pandemic/will-covid-19-kill-globalization
Accepting the "desirability" of some level of de-globalization goes mainstream, see https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/minimizing-deglobalization-risk-of-covid19-backlash-by-kemal-dervis-2020-06?a_la=english&a_d=5ee0992f63458315d07da19b&a_m=&a_a=click&a_s=&a_p=homepage&a_li=minimizing-deglobalization-risk-of-covid19-backlash-by-kemal-dervis-2020-06&a_pa=curated&a_ps=&a_ms=&a_r=
I agree with Bhanu Pratap Singh sir views on globalisation. globalisation is a trap, it is very difficult to get out from this for any economy. All economies are interlinked in such a way that it is not possible to get out of it completely. It is different than due to Kovid-19 that there may be some changes in the form of globalization, but it does not seem possible to completely separate from it.
Divisions are more prominent no doubt but need more time to confirm.
I think the whole political debate about « restarting » the economy kind of answers the question. Most part of the political discourse focuses on how to restart the economy and few comments mention how to “restructure”, “modify” or even “rethink” the economy.
There could be a desire from the populations to reindustrialize in some countries that have been deindustrialized these past few decades, however that is something that will be observed, if it happens, only in the next elections.
Your question, however, raises another issue: can a catastrophe (natural, health or industrial) have the potential to modify our vision of the economy? Take the Fukushima catastrophe for instance, did it really change the way countries deal with the use of nuclear power to produce energy?
relevant: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/covid-19-end-of-american-era-wade-davis-1038206/?fbclid=IwAR1leXgw9nPN8PZbRivASU1x7ukBMoP1YkUCFHODNcVH_Pj2JYLrQxTfaB0
Social distance and masking ought to be seriously integrated into the class management aspect. Really, observing social distance/masking in the classroom has become a serious challenge....due to Covid 19 pandemic crisis....therefore; the concerned stakeholders need to deal with the root causes of Covid 19 pandemic rather than the outcome. Indeed, Covid 19 is tough to embrace ... there is no free lunch....meaning there is no free Air.... no free oxygen. COVID 19 crisis is tough to manage. Really is tough to embrace. What are the independent variables of Covid 19 pandemic? What are the dependable variables of Covid 19 pandemic? What are the confound variables of Covid 19 pandemic? So what about Covid 19 pandemic? Why remedy if we know the root causes of Covid 19 pandemic? Why not destroying the source or causes of Covid 19 pandemic? l think it is not a good idea to accept living with a Covid 19 pandemic in this generation. Yes, we can live with malaria in Africa, yes; we can live with HIV/AIDs Globally. But not with Covid 19 pandemic....the world looks abnormal. No one looks normal. The beauty of this world is gone. Who shall live?
Dear Victor N. Roudometof the world has experienced many pandemics in the past, nothing to worry with the present pandemic.
Unfortunately there will be no complete disappearance of economic globalization. However, globalization will change significantly under the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus pandemic. Many changes in the globalization processes are already visible.
Best regards,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
Throughout history, pandemics have prompted immobilization, from the lazarettos and health passports of Italian city-states during the Black Death to 19th century conferences and treaties on quarantine to public health controls on immigration to travel advisories. In the long run, though, global connectivity goes up over time. The adoption of videoconferencing is an important move forward in global connectivity. So the answer depends on how you define globalization. If you mean transnational business and international cooperation, then perhaps we will be entering a new low tide.