The world has been changing for a while.

New countries (states) have been established or fabricated.

New regimes have been set up.

For instance Bosnia and Herzegovina, Libya, Sudan, Somalia, Algeria, Tunisia, Eygpt, Iraq, Syria, Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia.

I am looking for mathematical models for predicting those changes and solutions of conflicts like the one by Saaty et.al. 2015

A structured scientific solution to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict: the analytic hierarchy process approach

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40165-015-0017-3

Can you please recommend and share publications with mathematical models?

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