Hello, I am looking for an algorhythm that predicts risk for stroke and heart diseases while it compares it to the risk of taking the usual medication. Say I have one riskfactor in six and want to know if I do have to take medication.
Hi! I know in Australian General Practice the Absolute 5-Year Cardiovascular Disease Risk Calculator is used to determine the likelihood of a CV event in the next 5 years. This calculator stratifies people into high, medium and low risk. If a person was one a medication that altered one of the risk factors (e.g. a statin for cholesterol), you could play around and see how the score changes. It requires some lab values and some ECG data however http://www.cvdcheck.org.au/
First I think you are looking for an algorithm. Samuel answer is very interesting, but and there is a big but... (it why I love his example), cholesterol alone has never been a risk factor (excepted for genetic hypercholesterolemia). And the effect of statins and other treatments is very low in term of morbidity change. So, what is the purpose of my approach on the subject ? Just underline that risk factors are not equal and we know that since the Framimgham study has been going on. There is only one factor able to induce major troubles per se. And it is not cholesterol, which needs at least two additives factor to become nocive. If you find your algorithm, be aware that keeping all factor equal is not acceptable.
Thanks for the answers. I´ve read about the algorhythm in a dutch newspaper, maybe a year a go. I liked it right away because we in Germany have a tendence to actionism. If Cholesterol ist to high, you lower it, bloodpressure to high you lower it etc. but this algorhytm (as I remember it) considers and weighs the risks of the cure and advises after this stratification. M. Rahan, I will read your Article with great interest. Thanks al lot.
Hi. There are many risk score predictor but Raynolds risk score predictor is probably most accurate. It includes age, gender, smoking, blood pressure, cholesterol, family history, hsCRP. Following link might help you.. Thanks
http://www.clevelandheartlab.com/blog/horizons-whats-the-best-way-to-predict-heart-attack-and-stroke-risk/
- Badges
- Science method
- Similar topics
- Mathematics
- Statistics
- Statistical Techniques
- Meta-Analysis