I plan to investigate whether the salivary cortisol levels can explain the clinical responses in patients with low back pain (LBP) following a conservative treatment. Specifically, I want to see if patients with higher stress level (higher salivary cortisol concentrations) will have poorer post-treatment clinical outcomes. I initially plan to collect a saliva sample from each participant at 30 minutes after waking. However, an expert suggested me to take at least 3 samples from each participant because of the high variability in intra-individual salivary cortisol concentrations. Apart from the variability, I find that salivary cortisol concentrations may be affected by depression, age, menstrual cycle, oral contraceptives or menopause. It implies that I need to adjust for many factors before I can meaningfully interpret the relation between salivary cortisol levels and LBP outcomes. In summary, I may need to either exclude participants taking oral contraceptives/reaching menopause or adjust for all confounders in my 32 participants. However, if I want to put all the confounders into the final regression model to explain the relation between LBP outcomes and cortisol, I need more participants. Any suggestions? Have I missed any other potential confounders?

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