I've been asked to provide advice to a researcher and this has me puzzled.

The researcher has an estimated standardised mortality rate (SMR) for the whole population of interest. He wants to compare the SMR of a treatment group which is a subset of the whole population used for the estimated population SMR. He is keen for a p-value at the end.

How would you analyse the difference in SMR? My first instinct is Chi Goodness of Fit, but can you use that if you only have rates not raw numbers for the estimated SMR?  Or is it more appropriate to calculate a 95% confidence interval of the treatment group SMR, which would demonstrate statistical difference, but not the p-value that the researcher is after. Or would a survival analysis like a cox regression be more appropriate?

Any advice would be much appreciated.

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