Factors determining the share price
1.Public policy
2.Inflation
3.Political pressure
4.Market sentiment ....These are some of the factors affecting stock price
محمد سعد جودة
Basically stock prices are usually affected by :
1. Earnings of the Company - Bottom Line / Net Profit of the company;
2. Future Prospects of Earnings based on order book, anticipated turnover, any R&D which will absolutely have positive impact on company's margins;
3. Macro economic factors like Political stability in economy, Global events, etc.
أسعار الأسهم في البورصة تتأثر بعدة عوامل، بعضها اقتصادي وبعضها نفسي وسوقي، وتشمل ما يلي:
أولاً: العوامل الاقتصادية:
1. أداء الشركة المالي:
مثل الأرباح، الإيرادات، التوزيعات النقدية، ونمو الأرباح؛ فكلما زاد الأداء المالي الجيد، زادت جاذبية السهم.
2. أسعار الفائدة:
عندما ترتفع أسعار الفائدة، يقل الإقبال على الأسهم ويتجه المستثمرون نحو أدوات أقل مخاطرة، مثل السندات.
3. معدلات التضخم:
التضخم المرتفع قد يؤثر سلبًا على أرباح الشركات وقيمة الأسهم.
4. النمو الاقتصادي (الناتج المحلي الإجمالي):
النمو الإيجابي ينعكس على أداء الشركات ويزيد من تفاؤل المستثمرين، مما يدفع أسعار الأسهم للارتفاع.
ثانيًا: العوامل السوقية:
1. العرض والطلب:
إذا زاد الطلب على سهم معين، يرتفع سعره، والعكس صحيح.
2. حجم التداول:
ارتفاع حجم التداول قد يشير إلى وجود اهتمام متزايد بالسهم مما يدفع سعره للصعود أو النزول.
ثالثًا: العوامل السياسية والجيوسياسية:
1. الاستقرار السياسي:
الأوضاع السياسية المستقرة تشجع على الاستثمار، بينما تؤدي الأزمات السياسية إلى انخفاض أسعار الأسهم.
2. القرارات الحكومية:
مثل تغيير القوانين الضريبية أو السياسات الاقتصادية قد تؤثر على أسعار الأسهم.
رابعًا: العوامل النفسية والسلوكية:
1. التوقعات المستقبلية:
إذا توقع المستثمرون نموًا مستقبليًا قويًا للشركة، قد يدفعهم ذلك للشراء، مما يرفع السعر.
2. الإشاعات والأخبار:
مثل الشائعات حول اندماج أو إفلاس شركة يمكن أن تؤثر بشكل كبير على أسعار الأسهم.
3. المضاربة:
بعض المتداولين يشترون ويبيعون بسرعة لتحقيق أرباح قصيرة الأجل، مما يزيد من تقلبات الأسعار.
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