In the discipline of International Relations, there are events where all evaluations will be turned upside down. What do you think about writing history before these events are illuminated? Is this information intentionally left in the dark? Should a separate science and discipline be established to clarify critical information in history? Examples of the events I mentioned; Did the US know in advance that there would be an attack on Pearl Harbor? Why were atomic bombs used when there was no threat to their use? Why aren't those involved with charges against humanity? Why is this described in history books as an end to an ordinary war? Who killed US President John F. Kennedy and why? What is the status of being the employees of the state where the 9/11 attacks were planned in advance and where the perpetrators were actually made? Is the world really ruled by what we are taught?
There are many theoretical approaches through which uncertainty can be understood and dealt with, such as the theory of complex dynamic systems, the concept of black swan, the theory of matches, and the theory of probabilities.
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