Improving ITU-R prediction models for tropical regions often involves:
Refining rainfall inputs – Replace global R0.01 maps (P.837) with high-resolution local data or TRMM/GPM satellite data, and use accurate 1-min conversion models.
Calibrating key parameters – Adjust rain height (P.839) and specific attenuation coefficients (k, α from P.838) using local radiosonde and DSD measurements.
Modifying path reduction factors – Adapt effective path length and time percentages since standard P.618/P.530 often underestimates severe tropical rain fades.
Developing localized models – Many studies propose modified ITU-R curves based on tropical measurements for better cumulative distribution fitting.
Accounting for scintillation – Tune scintillation models with regional data to avoid over/underestimation.
Using ITU-R P.1853 time-series – For realistic dynamic link simulations and mitigation strategies.
Always check the latest recommendations (P.618-14, P.530-18) and validate with local beacon or link measurements for best accuracy.
Thank you for your question. The improvement approaches I mentioned for the ITU-R rain models—such as using high-resolution local data, calibrating key parameters, and developing localized models—can be applied in principle to other ITU-R propagation models (e.g., for fog, snow, dust, or scintillation).
However, each phenomenon has specific characteristics and parameters. For example, fog depends on humidity and water droplet density, snow on accumulation and particle size, and scintillation on atmospheric turbulence. Therefore, while the general methodology of local data integration, parameter calibration, and region-specific modeling is applicable, the exact parameters, empirical formulas, and path reduction factors must be adapted for each type of propagation phenomenon.
In short, the strategy is transferable, but the details must be tailored to the specific model and environmental conditions of the tropical region. HAMMED OYEBAMIJI BUSARI