Dear Recep Baydemir , I think what you highlight certainly played a role, however we need to add "in the eyes of a significant portion of the wider public". I think the Democrats may have been a bit guilty of not being too sensitive to the worries of many ordinary Americans, perhaps they focused too much on the educated ones (the uni graduates for example) whilst they ignored the uneducated in rural areas for example.

Dear Haris Shekeris

Ooooo, really? This is really interesting! I didn't know that.

What I am really curious about is whether the anti-war movements in the US had an impact on the results of this election. The police were very harsh on university students and professors who were protesting the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The students' democratic right to protest was directly blocked by a Democrat administration. Do the people in the US want the war in the Middle East and Ukraine to end? The Democrats never promised to end the war. The newly elected President Trump promised to end the war in a short time. Also, issues such as the economy, immigration, and abortion rights were probably other factors that determined the outcome of this election.

Dear Recep Baydemir , mostly my assessment, but I think I've seen that written in other analyses. As for the Palestinian conflict, I think this may have incited a portion of voters (certainly those of arabic/muslim origin, also some students) to not support Harris, though I think the voters of arabic origin were not stupid enough to think that Trump would end the war in their favour - Trump is quite explicit that he's pro-Israel and pretty much anti-Muslim. And yes, I agree with you that issues such as the economy (whether the ordinary voter would have enough to feed their family, plus cheap gas and things like that) and unfortunately the focus on immigration as causing all other ills may have played a significant role in pushing ordinary people to support Trump.

Recep Baydemir

Applicable to the whole West right now:

a) anti-incumbent wave sweeping away politicians across political spectrum due to the way their policies lead to inflation spike in afterwards of pandemics

b) left-wing has generally implemented its most popular policies and those policies become mainstream (like basic safety net)... and left is struggling to offer some new grand ideas that would be tempting for voters

c) growing disillusionment of young generation (especially young men) with the left

US specific issues:

a) not only already mentioned economic situation / inflation, but their apparent strategy of trying to convince voters that they shouldn't trust their own eyes and should instead look on some properly selected economic stats stating that their economic situation improves really did not work

b) impressive failure at protecting border which they managed to turn in to even bigger PR disaster in standoff with Texas where they positioned themselves as someone not only failing their job but also sabotaging others trying to desperately fix their errors

c) her party moving too far left on cultural issues for median voter, including ethnic minorities (some issues, like late abortion or sex change surgeries for kids may be even hard sell in Western Europe)

d) steady provision of weapons for continuous leveling of Gaza does not seem like the best way of getting Muslim votes

e) Campaign appears poorly thought out on purely technical level. Instead of fighting for the last year so called "fake news" that Biden is not in good shape, they should have ditch him much earlier and replace him with anyone charismatic who could claim that he (or she) is totally not to blame for recent policies or economic situation. Some other campaign decisions appear questionable, from more notable is not going on Joe Rogan podcast which seemed perfect and cheap way to present oneself to millions of swing voters (either that was blunder of campaign staff or admission that this candidate really should be kept away from anyone who may ask a few reasonable question)

Dear Marcin Piotr Walkowiak

Thank you for your Answer. Really, your answer is very valuable.

You are absolutely right. I agree with you.

As you say, the left worldwide has already been disappointing in recent years and unable to produce serious policies against the right. The rise of the right and the far right, not only in the US but also in Europe and many other parts of the world, certainly seems to be related to the failed policies and mistakes of the left.

***

In the end, the election resulted in a historic victory for the Republicans and Trump returned to the White House even stronger.

From now on, we will see what they will do. Will he be able to keep his promises?

Will the world be dragged further into war, will violence increase, will he be able to stop the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East as he promised?

We will see how human rights, democracy, rule of law, ethnic and religious minorities, etc. will be. most importantly, how will he manage the economy? Will it get better or worse?

Trump has said that he will stop immigration and continue to build border walls. I do not know what the social consequences of this will be for the US.

In conclusion, I can say this: The fact that Trump and the Republicans won the election by a huge margin (7 million votes, I think this is a huge number) clearly shows that the people in the US do not like the Biden administration and its policies.

***

Now, I am very curious about two things: Firstly, whether the Democrats will learn the necessary lessons from the election defeat and what they will do next.

And secondly, the most important thing is what Trump, led by the Republicans, will do next. Both for the USA and for the whole world.

Recep Baydemir

For both of your major questions, I'd say that answer seems to be unfortunately quite simple - had there been some good, easy solutions - someone would have already implemented them a long while ago.

Concerning Trump:

He does not seem willing to discipline Netanyahu, so the recent chapter of ME conflict is going to carry on.

With Ukraine it's a wild card. He seems to be willing to cede part of Ukrainian territory to satisfy Putin's imperialist ambition. The thing is that Putin demands half of Ukraine annexed, the second half turned in to some failed vassal state and limit sovereignty of nearby European states. If Putin wouldn't be satisfied with modest loot Trump can either back down (due to seeing China as more important threat) or conversely start being much more serious than Biden about arming Ukraine with weapons that could start hurting Russia to bring it somewhat mauled to negotiating table.

For economy I'd expect him to continue running unsustainable budget deficit so no difference with Biden/Harris. The only noticeable difference would be that he would not be blocking fossil fuels investment to placate green (or greenwashing) electorate. He may also go on some trade war, but apparently the US is already on such confrontational course with China anyway.

The major difference would be enforcing border security. He may champion some issues like protection of freedom of speech (and publish how prior gov fight against misinformation expanded into pushing big tech platforms into censorship also against statements of opinions, memes or stuff that turned to be factually correct) or fighting against reverse racism. He may also deem some prior actions against him as lawfare and answer in kind. For example he may investigate to what extend Biden was involved in his son's shady businesses or who exactly was Epstein's client.

Concerning Democrats (and similar establishment parties in other Western countries):

The growing discontent among masses has been noticeable for at least a decade but among those elites there have not been seriously adjustment of their position but rather doubling down. Maybe continuous dismissing of incoming bad news as hate speech or misinformation is not the best way of detecting problems?

So far the acceptable diagnosis of the source of problem seems to be:

- existence of popular opposition parties or leaders, so for example German establishment right now openly tries to ban major opposition party

- spread of so called misinformation which should be solved by government properly filtering available for citizens information and interpretation that government at particular moment considers as correct

Possibility that their waning popularity is primarily caused by long list of their blunders and being detached from issues crucial for average voter seems to be considered among those elites as a fringe view so far (though to be fair for example Bernie Sanders dared to utter that they have abandoned the working class). I do not expect any u-turn soon.