Can process-based crop models be a replacement for agronomic field trials in terms of input use efficiency, environmental impact assessment, and enhancement of productivity and yield?
process-based models enhance our understanding of crop systems, but field trials remain essential for real-world validation and context-specific insights. The ideal approach involves a harmonious blend of both methods to drive sustainable agriculture forward.
Models always require a level of standardization, which means that many decisions that need to be made in an actual field trial are 'evened out', so to speak, which in reality is impossible.
In addition, you lose the year (weather) influence, which makes your data very artificial.
It will be difficult to replace field trials with process based model .. still the model runs on constant and constraint set of parameters .... I don’t know if any model can simulate the dynamic nature of a system .. may be if people learn the quantum nature and it’s coming soon ! Most of current models also runs on calculus or degree of change and derivatives .. but lot of things in nature are hard to put on scale to calculate change cause it’s doesn’t flow in constant temporal scale ! may be I am wrong .. but that my thought !
Process-based crop models have significant potential to complement and, in some cases, partially replace agronomic field trials for certain purposes. Here's how they compare in terms of input use efficiency, environmental impact assessment, and productivity/yield enhancement:
Input Use Efficiency:
Crop Models: Process-based crop models simulate the physiological processes of crop growth and development, allowing for the optimization of input use efficiency. They can help predict the optimal timing and amount of inputs such as water, fertilizers, and pesticides needed for maximum yield.
Field Trials: Agronomic field trials provide direct empirical data on the performance of different inputs under specific conditions. They can validate the predictions of crop models and provide real-world context for their recommendations.
Environmental Impact Assessment:
Crop Models: These models can simulate the environmental impact of agricultural practices by predicting factors such as greenhouse gas emissions, nutrient runoff, and soil erosion. They allow for the assessment of different management strategies on environmental sustainability.
Field Trials: While field trials can provide data on environmental impacts, they are limited in scope and scale compared to crop models. They may not capture long-term or cumulative effects as effectively as modeling approaches.
Productivity and Yield Enhancement:
Crop Models: By simulating the complex interactions between crop genetics, environmental factors, and management practices, crop models can help identify strategies for enhancing productivity and yield. They enable virtual experimentation with different scenarios to optimize crop management.
Field Trials: Field trials provide essential empirical data on the performance of different varieties, inputs, and management practices. They offer valuable insights into what works in specific agroecological contexts.
Note that:
1. While process-based crop models offer numerous benefits, they are not without limitations.
2. Models rely on accurate input data and assumptions, and their predictions may vary depending on the quality of these inputs and the complexity of the modeled system.
3. Field trials remain essential for validating model predictions and providing empirical data for model calibration and improvement.
Therefore, a combination of crop modeling and field experimentation is often the most effective approach for sustainable agricultural research and practice.