Probability analysis may be tried, where, one may try to examine if there is an increased probability of worsening of trade relations in the post insurgency period compared to the pre-insurgency period.
Before deciding (suggesting) on the analytical tool, it may be helpful if the context and the objectibes of the study are clearly stated.
It is common to conduct research on the effects of insurgency on trade before and after the insurgency. The research methodology used in such studies can vary depending on the research question. For example, a multi-method research design provides evidence of the negative relationship between insurgencies and the depth of economic integration.
It is important to conduct research before and after the insurgency to determine the effects of the insurgency on trade. A multi-method research design provides evidence of the negative relationship between insurgencies and the depth of economic integration. Quantitative models using cross-national data on economic integration depth show lower levels of integration for insurgency-ridden states.