Is it required or necessary to include control variables in ARDL-ECM analysis, given that many studies in the literature have applied the ARDL-ECM model without incorporating control variables? Could you provide references to support your answer?
Including control variables in an ARDL-ECM analysis is not always necessary and depends on your research objective, theoretical justification, and empirical considerations. If the key independent variables sufficiently explain the dependent variable, adding controls may lead to overfitting or multicollinearity issues. Parsimony is key as one wouldn't want to add needless variables
That purely depends with your research objectives. It is not necessary not unless there is a reason for introducing control variables within your model.
Including control variables in an ARDL-ECM (Autoregressive Distributed Lag - Error Correction Model) analysis is not always required but depends on the context and research objectives. Here is a precise explanation:
Purpose of Control Variables: Control variables are included to account for external factors that might influence the dependent variable, ensuring that the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variable is not biased.
When Control Variables Are Necessary:If there are known factors (from theory or prior literature) that affect the dependent variable and could confound the relationship between the main independent variables and the dependent variable. When the research aims to isolate the effect of one or more key independent variables while accounting for the influence of other factors.
When Control Variables Are Not Necessary:If the model is designed to specifically test a bivariate or limited-variable relationship (e.g., the direct effect of one independent variable on a dependent variable). If no strong theoretical or empirical evidence suggests the need for additional controls in your specific research context.
Defending the Absence of Control Variables: If asked why you did not include control variables, you can justify this decision by stating:The focus of your analysis is on the direct relationship between specific variables, and additional controls were not relevant or necessary. There is no theoretical or empirical basis to include control variables for your research question. Adding unnecessary controls could introduce multicollinearity or overfitting issues, which might reduce the model's robustness.
In summary, the inclusion of control variables in ARDL-ECM depends on the research context, theoretical framework, and objectives. If they are not included, you should have a clear rationale grounded in theory or methodology to justify their exclusion.
I would use background research to support the non-inclusion of variables within the model. And as other colleagues have already indicated, you should also base your modeling on your research objectives.