09 September 2017 5 748 Report

Dear Experts,

I am new to the field of Health Economics, and I am currently writing my master thesis which is also my first-hand experience in the area of health economic modelling. 

I want to create a two health state Markov model for three different scenarios where (i) a patient is diagnosed early and treated early (ii) a patient is diagnosed late and treated late (for six months) (iii) a patient is not diagnosed and therefore not treated. For the first two scenarios, I have the yearly survival probabilities which were calculated based on the odds ratios of the medications. I also have the yearly survival probabilities of the third scenario in which no medications are given. The survival probabilities are obtained from the literature.

Can these survival probabilities be taken as transition probabilities in my model or do I need to transform them to transition probabilities using some mathematical function?

I look forward to your expertise.

Regards,

Karan

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