For shape of association, I used a generalized additive model for a smooth time series plot. Let's say for cardiovascular disease and temperature. I got a W like shape of graph which is non-linear of course.
For the regression model
Again, we made another plot in the regression model using the smooth term for one of the covariates for example temperature. This smooth plot showed a linear graph with a line not any U V or W shape.
My question is what plot we can assume to be representing a true relationship?
My regression model graph for temperature is showing a linear relationship. so does that mean it satisfies the condition of the regression model?