The carbon emissions mitigated per MW of solar PV in a grid-connected system depend on the displaced grid's carbon intensity and the solar system's output. A 1 MW solar PV system typically generates ~1,500 MWh/year, mitigating:
For coal-based grids (~1 kg CO₂/kWh), mitigation is ~1,500 tonnes CO₂/year. Accounting for solar lifecycle emissions (~30 g CO₂/kWh), net mitigation is ~1,455 tonnes CO₂/year.
The carbon emissions mitigated per megawatt (MW) of solar photovoltaic (PV) installation in a grid-connected system can be estimated by considering the following factors:
Emissions from the conventional power grid mix: The carbon intensity of the electricity generated from the grid depends on the energy sources in the local grid mix (e.g., coal, natural gas, oil, renewable energy, nuclear). The more fossil-fuel-intensive the grid, the higher the carbon emissions.
Solar PV's impact: Solar PV systems produce zero direct carbon emissions during electricity generation. Therefore, the mitigation comes from displacing the electricity that would have otherwise been produced by fossil fuels in the grid.
Estimating the Carbon Emissions Mitigated
To calculate the carbon emissions mitigated per MW of solar PV installation, we need the following:
Carbon intensity of the grid (in grams of CO2 per kilowatt-hour or gCO2/kWh): This is typically specific to the region and depends on the energy mix of the grid.
Energy generation capacity of 1 MW of solar PV: This is influenced by factors such as the number of sunlight hours per day (solar irradiation), the efficiency of the panels, and the capacity factor (the ratio of actual energy output to maximum possible output).
General Steps for Calculation
Annual Energy Production from 1 MW of Solar PV:Annual Energy Production=Capacity (MW)×Capacity Factor×Hours in a Year (8760)\text{Annual Energy Production} = \text{Capacity (MW)} \times \text{Capacity Factor} \times \text{Hours in a Year (8760)}For example, assuming a capacity factor of 20% (this can vary depending on location), the annual energy production from 1 MW of solar PV would be:1 MW×0.20×8760 hours=1,752 MWh/year1 \, \text{MW} \times 0.20 \times 8760 \, \text{hours} = 1,752 \, \text{MWh/year}This means 1 MW of solar PV could generate approximately 1,752 MWh per year, assuming a 20% capacity factor.
Carbon Emissions Mitigated (tons/year)=Annual Energy Production (MWh/year)×Carbon Intensity of Grid (gCO2/kWh)1000\text{Carbon Emissions Mitigated (tons/year)} = \frac{\text{Annual Energy Production (MWh/year)} \times \text{Carbon Intensity of Grid (gCO2/kWh)}}{1000}Carbon Emissions Mitigated: If the carbon intensity of the grid electricity is X gCO2/kWhX \, \text{gCO2/kWh}, then the total carbon emissions mitigated annually by the solar PV system would be:Carbon Emissions Mitigated=Annual Energy Production×Carbon Intensity of Grid\text{Carbon Emissions Mitigated} = \text{Annual Energy Production} \times \text{Carbon Intensity of Grid}In terms of metric tons of CO2:
Example Calculation
Let's assume the following:
The grid's carbon intensity is 500 gCO2/kWh (a typical value for a grid mix with significant fossil fuel contribution).
1 MW of solar PV generates approximately 1,752 MWh annually (with a 20% capacity factor).
So, 1 MW of solar PV installation in a grid-connected system with a 500 gCO2/kWh carbon intensity grid could mitigate approximately 876 tons of CO2 per year.
Important Considerations:
Grid Carbon Intensity: This value can vary widely based on the local energy mix. In regions heavily reliant on coal, the carbon intensity could be higher (e.g., 900–1000 gCO2/kWh), whereas grids with a higher share of renewable energy will have lower carbon intensities (e.g., 100–300 gCO2/kWh).
Capacity Factor: The actual energy produced by solar depends on geographic location, local weather patterns, and the technology used. The capacity factor for solar typically ranges between 15% and 25%, but it can vary.
Conclusion:
For a grid with a carbon intensity of 500 gCO2/kWh, 1 MW of solar PV can mitigate approximately 876 tons of CO2 per year. This number will vary depending on the region's grid mix and solar generation conditions.