Agricultural production will be affected by the severity of climate change and global warming. Moreover, the temperature and seasonal rainfall patterns vary from year-to-year and during the growing season. I would like to assess and quantify the impacts of high temperature on crop production and food security at a regional scale.
Hi Mohammed,
In my lab, we do this a lot using statistical models of the relationships between yield and temperature. Check out the work of my adviser, David Lobell: http://foodsecurity.stanford.edu/people/davidlobell/ and also Wolfram Schlenker (Columbia) and Michael Roberts (Hawaii). There is a blog you might find interesting: http://www.g-feed.org/
In particular this article has an overview and comparison of the different methods of assessing climate change impacts on food security (namely statistical and process-based modeling): http://foodsecurity.stanford.edu/publications/on_the_use_of_statistical_models_to_predict_crop_yield_responses_to_climate_change/
Hope this is helpful!
Best,
Fran
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