My question is this: if I have data on employee satisfaction at time 1 and time 2, and I want to predict say leaving intention at time 2, could response surface analysis with polynomial regression be used?
The best way for dealing with such situation is to transform your data (for example logarithmic transformation) to chabge the relationship to linear then use a multiple linear regression.
I think, following Shanock L et Al(2010), YOU CAN USE RESPONSE SURFACE ANALYSIS through polynomial regression (accounting for both fixed and random effect) : "The approach allows researchers to examine the extent to which combinations of two predictor variables [which can also be two point in time measure i.e., reoeated measure on subjects, ( or effects of an intervention or two predictors/process)] relate to an outcome variable (i.e., employee satisfaction), particularly in the case when the discrepancy ([the] difference) between the two predictor variables is a central consideration." of our research.
You can try different relating models (or polynomials) step-wise selection , accounting for "carry over effects " and correlation that may influence the level of satisfaction of the subjects.
Best wishes, Ibiloye.
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See an example here: https://www.jstor.org/stable/40928705
Reference.
Shanock, L., Baran, B., Gentry, W., Pattison, S., & Heggestad, E. (2010). Polynomial Regression with Response Surface Analysis: A Powerful Approach for Examining Moderation and Overcoming Limitations of Difference Scores. Journal of Business and Psychology, 25(4), 543-554. Retrieved May 19, 2021, from http://www.jstor.org/stable/40928705
Sorry but I am a bit late to the party but you had better see Montgomery's Design and Analysis of Experiments the section on Response Surface Analysis. This is available at z-library google instructions. It doesn't look like this is what you need. Best wishes David Booth