we should stay home

Thanks, Kalthum, for your message. I think we can stay home, and write our perspectives. This may be a good time to reflect on our autoethnography.

What caused the Corona epidemic has a great impact on everyone’s soul, so everyone has ideas and attitudes that accompanied him, so he will mention it

Thanks, Yousif, for your message. You are right, it's impacting many ways. Writing our resiliency would be helpful for many others.

TOTAL LOCK DOWN, only to shop once a week at most, and then always wear a mask and gloves, and try not touching places that others normal touch, like the usual spots on door handles, key pads, gas pump handles. And wipe down those same common-touch areas in your home--light switches, tv remotes, door knobs, oven dials, and in your car also, steering wheel, door handles, shift knobs, radio dials, etc.

The USA has known for two years,what the implications of the virus is going to be if it went out of control--In 2018, the John Hopkins Center for Health Security ran a simulation called "Parainfluenza Clade X" to determine what the potential would be of a virus pandemic, and they concluded: "...twenty months 150 million people worldwide--two percent of the global population--have died."

"...The global economy has collapsed under the strain, with the Dow Jones average down 90 percent. U.S. GDP down 50 percent, and unemployment at 20 percent. Washington is barely functioning--the president and vice president are both ill, one one-third of Congress is dead or incapacitated." 

People involved in that simulation were Tom Daschle (former leader of US Senate), Dr. Julie Gerberding (former head CDC), Jim Talen (former Missouri senator)--Why are all of these people keeping quiet right now, and not telling us what they saw in the global virus pandemic simulation only two years ago, and helping lead us out of this mess, with some new simulations???!!!

This simulation information and attendee list is from pages 201-203 of the Bryan Walsh book, "END, A Brief Guide to the End of the World: Asteroids, Supervolcanoes, Rogue Robots, and more", published in 2019.

Details about the John Hopkins "CLADE X" exercise can be read at

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events/2018_clade_x_exercise/index.html

Thanks, Craig, for your response to lots of important information. This will be helpful for many people. I am also worried about the many homeless, Indigenous people, and daily workers who do not a place to stay, do not have everyday foods, drinking water. Hunger is more dangerous for many people than Covid-19. Many other social issues are involved... How can we overcome this disaster? What will be the social impacts on this? Thanks again.

You are fortunately in Canada, and in a relatively remote Province, but since Canada has not yet gone on TOTAL LOCKDOWN, China-Style, so your total cases are doubling every 5 days? Which means without a total lockdown for at least the next month, you should expect to have 1/2 million sick people around you by the end of APRIL.

The social impact is that we will need to disband the militaries across the planet and use that money to help all of the people?

These positive changes for all, can be done peacefully, and in order for most to survive and thrive in the future, the old economic systems must be thrown into the trash bin of history, and the money that currently goes to each country's military gets invested in the people's health and well-being.

The places that will really suffer are the ones who have made major investment in their militaries, instead of health, education, housing, clean water, solar energy, etc. for their people. The top 12- future Coronavirus-suffering countries may be: 1.) USA $690 billion, 2.) Saudia Arabia $78 billion, 3.) Russia $61 billion, 4.) India $60 billion, 5.) UK $55 billion, 6.) France $52 billion, 7.) Japan $48 billion, 8.) Germany $48 billion, 9.) Brazil 28 billion, 10.) Italy $27 billion, 11.) Israel $22 billion, and 12.) Pakistan $13 billion.

Today, according to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries you can watch the daily numbers, and in six months, see if I picked the top-12 very unfortunate Coronavirus winners, based on their current military spending?

The reason is, that like our President Eisenhower told us in 1961, "Disarmament, with mutual honor and confidence, is a continuing imperative. Together we must learn how to compose differences, not with arms, but with intellect and decent purpose. "

See -- https://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/eisenhower001.asp

And then, we can use those military funds, so that all of the people in each country can survive and thrive?

About the curve--California is tracking to double its cases every three days, but in order for the curve to bend, the days between doubling must be 30 more more, which is going to need a total China-style quarantine lockdown. Everyone for their own country, should track the number of days to double, and when you get 30 or more, that is very good! If fewer than 30 days, need to do more.

Thanks Craig for your information. This is very helpful. Yes, the situation is becoming critical day by day. You are right, we need a strong quarantine lockdown for North America. Do you know how far the researcher is for their vaccine research?

Unfortunately, the vaccine will maybe not be ready for 1-2 years. In the meanwhile, simple monitoring of the number of days for the doubling of new cases, can at least have everyone on the planet become the judge of the effectiveness of their own country's methods. And if the current methods are failing, as they are here in the USA, insist that more stringent methods are employed immediately, to slam the brakes on the virus.

That is the only weakness that the virus has--we watch and monitor and change our behaviors so we do not become prey. The doubling times in China, starting when they had about 1,200 cases on January 24--Every two days, then one day to double, 2 days, 3 days, 5 days, 8 days, then the doubling stopped on February 15, and since then less than a 10% increase, because they were applying the brakes all along, then slammed on the brakes in late February to early March.I am confident we can all do that too.

Thanks, this is also helpful. I also believe we can all do that too, we have to, no choice. Thanks for your insight on this.

GOOD NEWS from California and the USA on April 2----The days to doubling of total cases is lengthening. In California our total case numbers were doubling like clockwork, every 3-4 days between March 8 and March 29th.

We put on "Lockdown Lite" on the 16th.

Then from March 30 to today, the numbers are now doubling every 12 days. Once every country ON THE PLANET goes on a severe-enough lockdown for at least a month, then the total number of cases and days to double, start stretching out after 2 weeks of Lockdown.

Yesterday, President Trump was still refusing to do any lockdowns in any of the Republican states that support him, which means that a lot of his supporters will be too sick or dead, to be able to vote in November?

Agree with Craig Carlton Dremann

First of all, stop following the news, it makes you more scared and depressed.

Then Stay at home. Stay safe.

Eat good and healthy food.

Build your own immunity.

Spread awareness as much as possible.

Thanks, Craig, I also agree on your perspective. There are many denials from President Trump. He actually failed the USA, and the whole world to lead in many issues, particularly COVID-19. I can see that this can lead to a paradigm shift.

Thanks, Saswatik Tripathy, for the response and concern. However, if we do not develop our awareness about this, there will be much missing information. As a researcher and educator, we also have the responsibility to explore reality to protect human and humanities.

In California, after only 2-1/2 weeks of "Lockdown Lite" which means you can still travel from State to State or from County to County, the biggest issues are lack of income and restlessness.

Because others like to buy our US Treasury bonds, and currently $24 Trillion in debt, we are about to vacuum out a couple of more trillion from the rest of the world to save ourselves, to pay our worker-bees while they are on lockdown for a month or two.

Then, there is restlessness? We are billions of primates over the last 5,000 years, who have become used to living in hive-like colonies, going to and fro on a daily basis, and interacting with dozens of non-family members each day--that is the glue that keeps our hive structures intact on an hour-to-hour and day-by-day basis.

Agreements that you have with everyone around you, that keeps the hive functioning week-to-week and month-by-month, that the stores will have food on the shelves, and the farm workers will be out picking the produce you need to live?

Plus, even the ex-situ "interactions" where the individuals participate as observers, must also cease, like the sports events, concerts, wars, and battles--we are going to be locked in our own little family-unit-worlds for a couple of months?

Will that hive-structure start breaking down, when the interactions MUST cease for months, or will individuals get restless, and resume contact too soon, like Trump wants us to, and keep spreading the virus that way?

PARTICLES and the virus--We are discovering here in California, that the virus can "hitch hike" on particles. When someone breathes, or coughs or sneezes, the rule is keep two meters apart. But that seems to only work in clean air, with no smog or smoke particles, or tobacco smoke, or salt spray particles if you are at the beach.

A smoker could be like a long distance virus spreader, the virus riding for hundreds of meters carried on that smoker, since tobacco smoke as it comes from a cigarette is an extremely concentrated aerosol with a relatively stable distribution of sizes ranging from 0.1 to 1.0 micron, peaked between 0.2 and 0.25 micron. So not only can you breath in the virus, but it could get deep into your lungs that way.

Maybe this is a good time for the human race to stop smoking tobacco?

For the California County of Santa Clara, about 2 million people, the location of most of "Silicon Valley" the results of the pandemic:

--First case Jan. 21.

--By March 6, 24 cases, and this date starts the days to doubling tracking--

--March 9, only 3 days to double total cases.

--March 14, five days to double.

--By March 16 when lockdown begins, 135 cases.

--March 20, 6 days to double.

--March 25, 5 days to double.

--March 29, 4 days to double.

--April 8 total cases 1,380

--Predicted next doubling, April 22, with 25 days to double.

Thanks Craig Carlton Dremann . Your updates and predictions are so helpful to understand the current crisis and relate to our situation (Canada). Thanks for letting us know your perspectives.

CANADA because the country is spread out, here are the doubling times--

March 25, starting with 3,400 cases, that is the start date for doubling.

March 30 - 5 days to doubling.

April 4 - 5 days to doubling

Next doubling predicted April 14 - 9 days to doubling - with 28,500 cases on that date -- Unless lockdown is more severe, like EVERYONE still working and EVERYONE going out, ALL wearing masks and gloves? Today estimated that only 10% here in my part of California out shopping, are wearing masks.

You start bending the curve when you get 30 days or more between doubling of total cases.

1969 song "Somethings in the Air" ..by Thunderclap Neuman says it all:

"Intro : Call out the instigators. Because there's something in the air We've got to get together sooner or later...

[Bridge : Thunderclap Newman] Lock up the streets and houses. Because there's something in the air..."

Thanks, Craig Carlton Dremann

Thunderclap Neuman rightly said "there's something in the air..." There is something in the water in Indigenous communities in the North America, they do not have drinking water for long.

One way to lower the number of new cases, is for everyone to know the coronavirus lifespan on different surfaces--cloth two days, paper money four days, and outside of masks the longest, at 7 days. Paper money might be a major "vector" for transmitting the virus, so perhaps banks should start "laundering" their currency and coins? ? SEE https://www.businessinsider.com/how-long-can-coronavirus-live-on-surfaces-how-to-disinfect-2020-3

This was forwarded to me via social media. I would love to credit the author but I do not know who it is. It encapsulates the current understanding of Covid-19 so well that I thought everyone would enjoy reading it…

For those of you who are still confused, these are the rules for covid 19:

1. Basically, you can't leave the house for any reason, but if you have to, then you can.

2. Masks are useless, but maybe you have to wear one, it can save you, it is useless, but maybe it is mandatory as well.

3. Stores are closed, except those that are open.

4. You should not go to hospitals unless you have to go there. Same applies to doctors, you should only go there in case of emergency, provided you are not too sick.

5. This virus is deadly but still not too scary, except that sometimes it actually leads to a global disaster.

6. Gloves won't help, but they can still help.

7. Everyone needs to stay HOME, but it's important to GO OUT.

8. There is no shortage of groceries in the supermarket, but there are many things missing when you go there in the evening, but not in the morning. Sometimes.

9. The virus has no effect on children except those it affects.

10. Animals are not affected, but there is still a cat that tested positive in Belgium in February when no one had been tested, plus a few tigers here and there…

11. You will have many symptoms when you are sick, but you can also get sick without symptoms, have symptoms without being sick, or be contagious without having symptoms. Oh, my God.

12. In order not to get sick, you have to eat well and exercise, but eat whatever you have on hand because it's better not to go out, well, but no…

13. It's better to get some fresh air, but you get looked at very wrong when you get some fresh air, and most importantly, you don't go to parks or walk. But don’t sit down, except that you can do that now if you are old, but not for too long or if you are pregnant (but not too old).

14. You can't go to retirement homes, but you have to take care of the elderly and bring them food and medication.

15. If you are sick, you can't go out, but you can go to the pharmacy.

16. You can get restaurant food delivered to the house, which may have been prepared by people who didn't wear masks or gloves. But you have to have your groceries decontaminated outside for 3 hours. Pizza too?

17. Every disturbing article or disturbing interview starts with " I don't want to trigger panic, but…"

18. You can't see your older mother or grandmother, but you can take a taxi and meet an older taxi driver.

19. You can walk around with a friend but not with your family if they don't live under the same roof.

20. You are safe if you maintain the appropriate social distance, but you can’t go out with friends or strangers at the safe social distance.

21. The virus remains active on different surfaces for two hours, no, four, no, six, no, we didn't say hours, maybe days? But it takes a damp environment. Oh no, not necessarily.

22. The virus stays in the air - well no, or yes, maybe, especially in a closed room, in one hour a sick person can infect ten, so if it falls, all our children were already infected at school before it was closed. But remember, if you stay at the recommended social distance, however in certain circumstances you should maintain a greater distance, which, studies show, the virus can travel further, maybe.

23. We count the number of deaths but we don't know how many people are infected as we have only tested so far those who were "almost dead" to find out if that's what they will die of…

24. We have no treatment, except that there may be one that apparently is not dangerous unless you take too much (which is the case with all medications). Orange man bad.

25. We should stay locked up until the virus disappears, but it will only disappear if we achieve collective immunity, so when it circulates… but wait...we must no longer be locked up for that?

Thanks Rajkumar Rajendram for your response. This is very helpful. I also found

an interesting BLOG call "How to manage COVID-19 related stress: Advice from an Elder" https://www.qia.ca/blog-how-to-manage-covid-19-related-stress-advice-from-an-elder/?fbclid=IwAR1WefNC3KUwUMYGQuTAW9H_yxrnoXmAzin1iQ7ETC68JmR5SmVzed7maxY

WOW! Ranjan Datta answer above... from an Elder, the Native peoples from their Nation northeast of Canada...Nunavut...plus the stories about the 1940-1960s TB epidemics they lived through?

Yes, Craig Carlton Dremann Indigenous Elders and Knowledge-keepers are a great source of knowledge on how to build resiliency during this crisis moment. As Indigenous we know how to make a balance between the environment and human needs. We have been sustainability living for thousands of years; however, only western-based science destroyed both environment and humans with few decays. Indigenous people, knowledge, and ways of lives destroyed because of only human greediness. We need to reclaim environmental rights from land-based education and practice.

Thanks for your reply.

Our relatives... (I have a great grandmother Hannah, originally from the Tuscarora people of North Carolina), were attacked by multiple pandemics, like Bubonic plague, chickenpox, cholera, the common cold, diphtheria, influenza, malaria, measles, scarlet fever, smallpox, typhoid, typhus, tuberculosis, and whooping cough--initially within a short amount of time, then widespread epidemics would pop up periodically for the next 500 years?

Maybe the Indigenous people's histories, stories and wisdom, can help the world cope with this new alien invader--This time, instead of just invading one part of the world, is attacking us all at the same time on this tiny planet?

And, what do our dreams tell us, about our species surviving into the future?

Maybe the Coronavirus will help us learn... to live peacefully together and cooperate on this tiny planet, not as separate groups of humans with our own cultures and religions, willing to kill one another over ideological differences, and unwilling to fix the environmental impacts on the planet? Instead, we must all join together, put down our weapons, disarm the nuclear weapons, and fight the real fight for the survival of our species and to fight for the environment that allows us to thrive on this planet?

Thanks, Craig Carlton Dremann I agree with you. We all should work together to protect human and non-human. For doing this, we need to build transdisciplinary knowledge and practice by collaborating among science, technology, Indigenous knowledge and practice, and social science. We as a human should take more responsibilities as we destroyed for our greediness.

The fundamental concern is how to do it. Some of the ways could be: 1) we understand that it is a serious crisis and we as human are responsible for it; 2) it is high time to relearn, rethink, react, and response; 3) start practice at home, community, schools, and universities; 3) share and collaborate with cross-cultural, inter-generational, cross-disciplinary and transdisciplinary knowledge and practice, and 4) develop community-based policy and practice for building community capacities.

Hi Craig Carlton Dremann

Here are two more Indigenous blogs:

1) Indigenous Peoples and COVID-19: Protecting People, Protecting Rights-- https://www.firstpeopleslaw.com/index/articles/449.php?utm_source=First+Peoples+Law+Blog&utm_campaign=ab52b4f7af-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_07_10_09_19_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_84105b31a3-ab52b4f7af-28744849

2) Exercising Indigenous Jurisdiction Amidst the COVID-19 Pandemic-- https://www.firstpeopleslaw.com/index/articles/451.php?utm_source=First+Peoples+Law+Blog&utm_campaign=ab52b4f7af-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_07_10_09_19_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_84105b31a3-ab52b4f7af-28744849

RUSSIA is in really huge, BIG TROUBLE today...Not able to change its total case doubling rates from the every 4-5 days that have been occurring since March 31, so today are 52,000 cases April 21, when April 26 will be 112,000, then May 1st 224,000 total cases.

The numbers will start to go down IF and WHEN Russian actually start to give every person masks and has a total Lockdown. Every week, you need to double the number of days to double.

So if you start with the total number of cases of 100 on May 1, and you first doubling to 200 is 4 days later, then your next doubling day of 400 should be 8 days later, then 16 days later, doubling to 800 total cases, etc. If every week, your doubling rate stays more or less the same, you pandemic is not under control yet. However, Russia has been a major "virus-denial" country, see article "Apr 3, 2020 - Russia arrests doctor for giving out masks against coronavirus..."

From https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/#total-cases --- some very good news today! The "Bell-shape curve" is starting to form!

Thanks Craig Carlton Dremann

It's nice to see your update on this issue, please share if you find any community resiliency stories

Thanks, Hermann Gruenwald. What does RG mean? sorry for my ignorance.

RG=Research Gate

Thanks Craig Carlton Dremann and Hermann Gruenwald

We can create one. I wrote a journal manuscript for the University of Toronto Press journal, hope it is coming soon.

If you are asking in your question about "psychological resilience"... I think this pandemic is challenging the whole world's resilience, not unlike a world war would, except it is the War of the World between the microscopic and the macroscopic going on right now.

We are trying to develop an effective weapon...the vaccine, but perhaps the easiest way to win this war, is retreat which is a huge paradox for humans to psychologically to wrap their minds around.

All through human history and traditional warfare... it was the side that overwhelmed the other side that won. In this case, if we cannot develop the vaccine quickly enough, then each of us must completely retreat for at least a month, like in China and New Zealand, and that way we will surely win.