Have you found any relationship yourself?

The USA has known for two years, what the implications of the virus is going to be, because in 2018, the John Hopkins Center for Health Security ran a simulation called "Parainfluenza Clade X" to determine what the potential would be of a virus pandemic, and they concluded: "...twenty months 150 million people  worldwide--two percent of the global population--have died."

"...The global economy has collapsed under the strain, with the Dow Jones average down 90 percent. U.S. GDP down 50 percent, and unemployment at 20 percent. Washington is barely functioning--the president and vice president are both ill, one one-third of Congress is dead or incapacitated."

People involved in that simulation were Tom Daschle (former leader of US Senate), Dr. Julie Gerberding (former head CDC), Jim Talen (former Missouri senator)--Why are all of these people keeping quiet right now, and not telling us what they saw in the global virus pandemic simulation only two years ago, and helping lead us out of this mess, with some new simulations???!!! 

This simulation information and attendee list is from pages 201-203 of the Bryan Walsh book, "END, A Brief Guide to the End of the World: Asteroids, Supervolcanoes, Rogue Robots, and more", published in 2019.

Details about the John Hopkins "CLADE X" exercise can be read at

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events/2018_clade_x_exercise/index.html

Datasets as possible around COVID19, to be used for machinelearning applications:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Wkvbf2t2Da87NtNvMJf_PRqv9zLHyqqtRitBIGGKKNM/edit?ts=5e78bf6d

Hi

I made this correlation earlier today after seeing the latest Johns Hopkins bar graph for “Mortality in the most affected countries”.

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality

Below are the links to the maps that I looked at:

https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&id=7BFBD2BAF26E36B1B170F0028AB6A5EC51D4A97A&thid=OIP.QgtqwfN_oeolOCOzwIWWTwHaDz&mediaurl=http%3A%2F%2Fclanforrester.org%2Fimages%2Fdna%2Faf4.png&exph=426&expw=828&q=america+R1b+map&selectedindex=0&ajaxhist=0&vt=0&eim=1

https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&id=0E1EBC61D06380CE91FFFFAFE8F9DC3A893B9E58&thid=OIP.f-iTwJXiuraXKWQMRBAmLwHaEU&mediaurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.eupedia.com%2Fimages%2Fcontent%2FHaplogroup_R1b_World.png&exph=1245&expw=2133&q=map+of+celtic+dna+in+usa&selectedindex=111&ajaxhist=0&vt=0&eim=1

My next step is to try to find out if the same correlation exists for the common flu.

Best regards

Serge F. Fourcand

It is noteworthy that the pandemic strikes

most deeply in those human communities in which the R1b haplogroup, characteristic of Western Europe, predominates.

Esto es lo que ha observado el lingüista Angel Gomez Moreno en un ensayo reciente "Coronavirus, Population Genetics, and Humanities "

Te supongo al corriente. Yo no puedo opinar, aunque me ha llamado la atención.

Based solely on graphically correlating the geographical distribution of the Covid-19 pandemic in Europe, the particular branch of R1b affected is the R1b S28 haplogroup. This is the Italo-Celtic branch.

The web link to the map of the R1b haplogroup subset that best matches the pandemic in Europe is below:

https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&id=4C6614847D85D3B0D6CC66B64D19013B29759565&thid=OIP.puD16agUD5jQw4AAlA9EbwHaFH&mediaurl=http%3A%2F%2Fadamsfamilydna.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F04%2FHaplogroup-R1b-S28.gif&exph=552&expw=800&q=R1b-S28&selectedindex=0&ajaxhist=0&vt=0&eim=1&ccid=puD16agU&simid=608018707051842684

A link to a map of the distribution of the pandemic in Europe as 4/23/2020 is below:

https://www.bing.com/images/search?view=detailV2&id=4C6614847D85D3B0D6CC66B64D19013B29759565&thid=OIP.puD16agUD5jQw4AAlA9EbwHaFH&mediaurl=http%3A%2F%2Fadamsfamilydna.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2013%2F04%2FHaplogroup-R1b-S28.gif&exph=552&expw=800&q=R1b-S28&selectedindex=0&ajaxhist=0&vt=0&eim=1&ccid=puD16agU&simid=608018707051842684

This would also explain the magnitude of the pandemic in the New York area.

Best regards

Serge F. Fourcand

Dear colleagues,

please, see the article by Linguist Prof. Ángel Gómez Moreno (Universidad Complutense de Madrid), "Coronavirus, Population Genetics, and Humanities", Mirabilia, 30 (2020, 1): Special Issue: https://www.revistamirabilia.com/sites/default/files/pdfs/01._gomezmoreno.pdf

May be it would be interesting to contribute to a wider perspective in strategy to fight the pandemic.

Best regards,

Maria del Pilar Corena-McLeod Daniel Beltrán-Porter Serge F Fourcand Mohammed Abdallah Bakr Mahmoud

There is also this work comparing COVID-19 and haplogroup R1b distribution maps: http://sxs.altervista.org/coronavirus/

I think it is useful to estimate the correlation by a visual qualitative analysis to understand if this hypothesis could be further developed. From this work it seems an avenue worth exploring.

Thank you so much / Grazie senza fine, Dott.ssa Amato.

I think it is right an avenue of knowledge worth exploring.

We need the contributions from a wide shared knowledge from lots of disciplines.

Vicent

Haplagroup R1b: See points highlighted on Log-Log plots - John Hopkins database: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality Then compare with plots from Prof. Ángel Gómez Moreno

Guardian article yesterday. See map. www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/05/why-has-eastern-europe-suffered-less-from-coronavirus-than-the-west

This paper by a Georgian researcher:

Haplogeography of COVID-19: A Hypothesis”,March 2020. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.17496.44803

www.researchgate.net/publication/340428670_Haplogeography_of_COVID-19_A_hypothesis

From 2002: Article In Search of Geographical Patterns in European Mitochondrial DNA

Such a connection would not be unheard of: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2885350/

found a link between Y-haplogroup I1 and HIV progression.

It's striking to compare today's (reported) mortality per case of 6.4% in R1b dominant Ireland vs. 0.56% in R1a dominant Belarus. To make the comparison more stark, precautions such as social distancing have been very spotty in the latter. Also compare, though with smaller samples, Cameroon at 4.0% and Ghana at 0.52%.

I uploaded a draft report of a quantitative study of a link between COVID-19 death rate and R1b frequency here:

Preprint COVID-19 Death Rate: Is it in our DNA?

In this work it has been found a highly significant correlation (p-value=3.04E-6) between the initial growth rate of COVID-19 contagion and the maximum haplogroup R1b percentages in different countries:

https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/yv8kc

Very interesting paper!

Grazie senza fine, Prof.ssa Amato per la indicazione.

Vicent

Dear colleagues,

I would be pleased to bring your attention to this article by Prof. Dr. Joandomènec Ros (Emeritus, University of Barcelona; President, Institut d'Estudis Catalans, Barcelona):

"Coronavirus, Black Swans and Gray Rhinos"

https://www.revistamirabilia.com/issues/mirabilia-30-2020-1

In a multilingual edition: Catalan, English, Spanish and Portuguese.

I think it would be interesting.

Vicent