What level of objectivity can the development of prospective thinking have based on expert judgment?

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Dennis Mazur

Isn't expert judgment almost always based the expert's past success and failures of judging in their chosen area of interest?

Dennis

Dragos Simandan

For two different takes on foresight, see:

Article Wisdom and foresight in Chinese thought: Sensing the immediate future

Article Iterative lagged asymmetric responses in strategic managemen...

Luis Diego Salas Ocampo

Dennis that interesting the question that you pose. If that is the case, then there could be many vulnerabilities in the construction of possible future scenarios that are established, right?

Dragos will read the reference, thank you very much