I am developing an analysis on the different ways of approaching foresight in the field of social sciences
Isn't expert judgment almost always based the expert's past success and failures of judging in their chosen area of interest?
Dennis
Dennis Mazur
For two different takes on foresight, see:
Article Wisdom and foresight in Chinese thought: Sensing the immediate future
Article Iterative lagged asymmetric responses in strategic managemen...
Dennis that interesting the question that you pose. If that is the case, then there could be many vulnerabilities in the construction of possible future scenarios that are established, right?
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