Any arguments for or against hypothetical membership of Ukraine in the European Union would be appreciated. These comments may be used to generate future research and discussion within the graduate EU studies at my University.
Good question and difficult ansver.. Ukraine does not yet meet the basic macroeconomic conditions for accession, such as GDP, budget deficit, inflation, etc. Nor does it meet the alignment of legislation with EU legislation. And it will not meet these conditions for a long time. And then there is the influence of the Russian Federation and its relations with the EU and the EU's dependence on Russian gas and oil. My opinion is that Ukraine will not be a member of the EU for a long time.
I fear Ukraine is a political football. I can't see Russia allowing it to join NATO or the EU without invading further. I think the EU is also in far too much trouble with BREXIT, Covid and recent votes Poland and Romania over the supremacy of their laws over the EU to want further expansion any time soon.
EU policy towards Ukraine and Russia remains a status-quo, regardless of critical voices pleading for changing EU’s policy towards Russia, especially in Germany. On the contrary, the EU emphasizes European unity, maintaining the sanction regime against Russia by upholding diplomatic channels at the same time and supporting the Ukrainian policy of territorial integrity. Its far-reaching association agreement with Ukraine has become operative. In the eyes of the EU, Russia alone represents the guilty party of the conflict.
The EU has its Neighbourhood Policy which also adresses the so called Eastern partnership. It is NOT regarded as pathway to a membership but to close cooperation... It is a political tool to make the EU neighbourhood more stable...
1st Link: https://ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-enlargement/european-neighbourhood-policy_de
2nd Link: https://eeas.europa.eu/diplomatic-network/european-neighbourhood-policy-enp_en
visit..
: https://ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-enlargement/european-neighbourhood-policy_de
Opinión muy personal, sería que Ucrania negocie con Rusia, y debe ser parte del eje de Asia, como la Isla de Taiwan a China, porque crea crisis mundial, Con el camuflaje de la OTAN, enrumban a ser los manipuladores, ingresar a saquear las riquezas de esos países, generan incertidumbre y caos en el mundo, lo cual tiene efectos rebote, la suba de costes, transporte, energía, pandemias, etc,...
Thank you for your answers. Many interesting thoughts... I believe that Ukraine will become a member of the EU but definatly it 's very long term perspective. Estonian president said not less than 20 years. Both sides are clearly not ready for it today and political declarations from both sides (European parliament and Ukrainian constitution - article 85) are only declarations. Association agreement creates the ground for very intensive cooperation in all spheres and after it is implemented in full the question of membership can be more real. Many things should change before it will be the case, including Russian factor, situation in Ukraine and in the EU...
Juan Carlos Apaza Paucara Thank you. Very interesting discussion-provoking opinion though i cant agree with the thought that Ukraine is bound to follow some exogenous pattern. Everybody has the right to choose its friends even if we talk about nations and geopolitical choices...
Riyasu Bruny Yes, official position of the EU towards Ukraine is very friendly and supporting and the relations have made sufficient progress throughout the history...
Hi, you can find these resources helpful,
https://library.fes.de/pdf-files/id-moe/10608.pdf
https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headQuarters-homepage/4081/eu-ukraine-relations-factsheet_en
Sitara Karim Thank you, prof. Karim, I am among developers of the first one. ) And the second one is an openning for me
Muchas, gracias, es interesante el debate, dentro de la crítica es que los países, que son vistos como hegemónicos, nos hacen creer como los gendarmes del mundo, y al final la historia, nos ha demostrado que tiene que haber un equilibrio de fuerzas,...
You are welcome Andriy Boyar , all the best for your future endeavors.
In light of recent developments and the Russian invasion in Ukraine, it is worth revisiting the debate. There was a proposal for an exceptional fast-track accession of the Ukraine to the EU.
...EU Leaders are unlikely to offer Ukraine candidate status, it is more likely that there will be more cooperation within the association agreement...
https://www.euractiv.com/section/enlargement/news/eu-leaders-unlikely-to-agree-on-ukraines-candidate-status/
Naturally, the Ukraine should become a member of NATO - should have done that back in 1991! There are many countries within in NATO that have different ideas (political) asto what is "right" or "wrong" - but when it counts - we forget our difference "and throw the tea in the sea" together. (In Boston many years ago).
Lou
Anton Vrdoljak Thanks for the reference. The candidate status doesnt mean much economically and financilly for the EU and even from the perspective on full membership (see the case ofTurkey). But politically and diplomatically it can be very important today. And there are two countries having potential EU candidate status (https://ec.europa.eu/environment/enlarg/candidates.htm). That could be athother alternative for Ukraine in the nearest future.
Lou Schmitt Yes, it would definitaly have helped to avoid the war. And another great hypothetical option could be Russian membership in NATO. It would help to avoid many other potential conflicts...
Andriy; absolute! Always been infavour of a Nato with both Russia and the U.S. - a strong "police force" for the entire world. But I guess that would have been impossible due to "human concepts of being beng better than" the group living next door!
Lou
Sadly I mightvhsve been right but ti me it id looking likeca negotiated prace. The option of EU membership might be a possibility but not NATO, in fact Putin has made EU membetship mote likely as well as Sweden and Fonland joining NATO.
Yes Andriy, but there is a big shadow sneaking around "backstage" - money. The very thing that prevents the use of "nukes" - they don't have to be replaced when used, is the "thing" that keeps conventional war interesting. A destroyed tank, or plane or even just a rifle and more ammo - creats a need for new material. This makes some groups/families very rich. What does this mean? There will always be a Russia and western powers: we call it a balance of power - or money maker as is going on just now at a very high price to humankind. Biden, however is wrong; there will not be a WW-III with "nukes" - banks would be gone as well!!
Lou
Ukraine has support of its candidate status from the EP (https://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20220608IPR32523/ep-groups-leaders-statement-in-view-of-23-24-june-european-council?xtor=AD-78-[Social_share_buttons]-[facebook]-[en]-[news]-[pressroom]-[cop-statement]-) and the EC (https://www.dw.com/en/european-commission-recommends-ukraine-be-granted-eu-candidate-status/a-62166624). Waiting for the EUropean Council decision this week.
Now it is up to the 27 EU member states to grant the Ukraine AND Moldova (it is really about both nations) the EU candidate country status.
It will be the case rather soon in my observation. And it is a political signal.
BUT it must be underlined that it is NOT a fast track or quick route to EU membership. It may be a thorny route that will take up to 20 or more years.
AND one of the contidtions is a peace. IS THAT HELPFUL?!
Putin just requires that war to keep going in order to stop the EU accession...
Dear Head of Dep. Dr. Boyar!
May I state Ukraine is part of Europe and should be part of the EU as well as soon as possible. As a Hungarian citizen, I fully support Ukraine in this regard. The membership admission process might take a while. As Europeans, we must remain united in our aims for peace and welfare. With regard to science, there should not be any "political" barrier to researching economic relations between Russia and the EU. I consider "open science in military alliances to coordinate humanitarian emergency operations and economic resilience initiatives" is a topic where Ukraine could take a dominant role between the West and the East part of Europe (including Russia and Turkey):
1) Fiott, D. The Fog of War: Russia’s War on Ukraine, European Defence Spending and Military Capabilities. Intereconomics 57, 152–156 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-022-1051-8, Open access:
Article The Fog of War: Russia’s War on Ukraine, European Defence Sp...
2) Zabih Ghelichi, Monica Gentili, Pitu B. Mirchandani,
Drone logistics for uncertain demand of disaster-impacted populations,
Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, Volume 141, 2022, Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0968090X2200170X
Yours sincerely, Bulcsu Szekely
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