I am working on a study to develop a model for the classification of cities as a function of the portfolios of crimes that frequently occur. For application of the model we choose a State. We are evaluating cities based on 36 criteria.
People's sense of insecurity is related to not only crimes that really happened but also their perception of crime. The latter is related to culture, ethnicity, race, income, and so on. So, you probably need to include some socioeconomic variables that affect people's perception. Of course, whether the effects of those variables are positive or negative depend on empirical analysis.
For the ranking: two variables stand out, namely, crime rate and available crime prevention gadgets and personnel. In all these, population is important.
Thanks for the contribution. Adding the quantity of personnel available is important, although this information is not available by security agencies in the country where I reside.
You might get some ideas from the methodology of the Legatum Prosperity Index. One of its pilar is based on security and safety with variables such as:
- Personal safety: intentional homicide rate, stolen property from yourself or household member, feeling of walking alone safely at night .
- Security of living conditions: availability of adequate food, availability of adequate shelter, road death rate.
I´m agree with Feng Frederic Deng regarding the importance of perception of crime as an indirect indicator. Urban and social seggregation could be a additional key, e.g. the % of gated communities.
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