The following two papers refer to the effects of the new IFRS 16 on both financial ratios and lease as parts of 2019 financial statements; you may want to check them out:
The impact of IFRS 16 on key financial ratios: a new methodological approach
J Morales-Díaz, C Zamora-Ramírez - Accounting in Europe, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
IFRS 16 (leases) implementation: Impact of entities' decisions on financial statements
J Morales Díaz, C Zamora Ramírez - … IEB International Journal of Finance …, 2018 - idus.us.es
Under IFRS 16, a lessee will no longer make a distinction between finance leases and operating leases. IFRS 16 introduces a single lessee accounting model and requires a lessee to recognise assets and liabilities for all (material) leases with a term of more than 12 months, unless the underlying asset is of low value. A lessee is required to recognise a right-of-use asset representing its right to use the underlying leased asset and a lease liability representing its obligation to make lease payments. Therefore, IFRS 16 Leases will lead to an increase in leased assets and financial liabilities in the statement of financial position of the lessee. Whereas the EBITDA of the lessee increases as well since the lessee will recognize the interest cost and the depreciation of the leased asset instead of the operating lease expenses in the statement of profit and loss. Accordingly, companies with material off-balance sheet lease commitments will encounter significant changes in their key financial metrics such as leverage ratio, return on invested capital and valuation multiples. Although equity values should not change, enterprise values of companies will increase.
Firstly, it shall be explicitly stated what type of consequences you mean. We should distinguish at least two aspects: a) impact on financial statements and b) impact on economic behaviour.
A) Financial statements: Other factor fixed, the capitalisation of former operating leases will result in:
- increase in (non-current) assets and liabilities
- decreases in services costs and their replacement by depreciation charges + interest expense
- increase in EBIT and significant increase in EBITDA
- increase in operating CF and decrease in financial CF
B) Impact on financial statements is easy if no reaction of firms to new rules occurs. However, this is not always true as some firms are opportunistic and managers exercise rent-seeking at expense of owners and other stakeholders.
It depends on a model of decision-making by users (fully rational; partly rational; fully irrational), dynamics of changes in their decision-making as well as the management incentives to manage earnings combined with their expectation about the users' reactions in terms of decision-making.
1) Supposing that users are fully rational, then there should be hardly any change. According to full-disclosure principle and rational model of behaviour, users already under IAS 17 can take disclosures about operating leases from notes and to adapt financial statements figures to their needs. IFRS 16 then will decrease their information-processing costs only.
2) In reality, there is a partially limited rationality (esp. in short-term until users are familiar with all key features of new standards) and we can expect that opportunism-driven firms will try to rearrange contracts to manage accounting figures as desired.