Phil Davis, a bibliometric expert wrote when Lancet took the 2021/2022 impact factor lead: "No discovery or invention in the history of science can come close to the effect COVID-19 papers had on the citation record in 2021. However, because the Impact Factor is so sensitive to highly cited papers, some journal scores will reach stratospheric heights this year, only to collapse next year. Unfortunately, this super-charged cycle of boom and bust is only going to fuel a greater sense of skepticism around the meaning and interpretation of the Impact Factor". My question: Will this come to pass, or be construed as an opinion that holds no water?
Hello Kamoru A. Adedokun
I agree with the idea that COVID has changed the journals' IFs by a lot and some will have a sharp rise with sharp falls. I think there may be more events in the future that totally change the journals' IFs (with subsequent rebound effect). We cannot conceive of them yet - but I am predicting that is what is going to happen.
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.607309/full,this link may be useful.
It is interesting to come across one of my previous forecasts. Importantly, Lancet (journal), despite the significant boost in their impact factor during the COVID-19 pandemic, has consistently maintained the lead, especially in the field of General Medicine. This is awesome!
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