England didn't went through Brexit (and I doubt it does it in a close future) and Sweden is still part of European Community, even if last election showed a populist renewal. Maybe you were too much influenced by this article: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/10/immigration-europe-sweden-elections-brexit trying to explain why Brexit still didn't happened. Of course, it's not due to England and English's nature, but to Sweden & European Community;

Closing of borders has nothing to do with changing climate but politics

Climate change begins as weather changes accumulating over a long period; future historians may classify today's coastal erosion migrants in Bangladesh as climate change victims. If they end up knocking on Indian doors, then your question beckons a more affirmative possibility.

Dear Shaurya,

I agree with the opinion that climate change will be one of the key driver in the next huge migration wave, as it is predicted that there will be some places on Earth where life will be no longer possible due to high temperatures. I´m not an expert in this field, but I think that States know these predictions and they are adopting measures (based also on the actual experience with the migration, especially from Africa) that could help them in the future to deal with this. I live in the Central Europe and for example representatives of Slovakia were (and still are) strongly against replacement of migrants here (of course, official reasons are completely different from those real), but in a political area they are preparing measures for the future scenarios - in silence, of course.

I´ve heard also few black prognosis that sources will be one the drivers of next big world armed conflict, so I consider this topic to be very interested and I cross fingers for you that you will explore something enriching. But already opening this debate is enriching!

Best regards,

Barbara

One more link to support the discussion:

https://unfccc.int/news/climate-change-is-a-key-driver-of-migration-and-food-insecurity

The degree of correlkation will depend on the stge of development the country concerned is situated on. If climate change impact on resources base, it is quite likely the country will resort to protectionism.

Dear, Kenneth M Towe

Thank you for the response. I am sure I am not confusing the question with weather changes. Climate Change debate was part of many scientific research since late 1970s though until 2000s we weren't sure if it was human driven. The question largely comes out from a perspective that we knew or we had an idea that climate change is going to be a problem but we couldn't take initiatives at a scale required to rectify, also with international politics in picture this would be a challenge. Since we (all UN based countries) couldn't come to a consensus earlier the likelihood of problems that are associated with migration are taking place now and the politics is also shifting towards protectionism.

However the global population was around 3.7 billion in late 1970s. Currently we are moving towards 8 billion by early 2030s. I don't see population as a problem, I see the idea of resource management with regards to population as a problem since with advancement of technology the energy consumption is going to increase and vice versa. Population is bound to increase with advancement in technology many known demographers have identified that global population will be largely caped at 11 to 11.5 billion by 2100 there is very low probability we might go further. Add a fact that many countries were largely colonized in South Asia in early 16th to late 20th century and many of the resources available locally were exported. Thus living the local country with a lesser resource and putting demographic transition theory in perspective currently the population growth is observed in South Asia and these countries have lesser resources right now as compared to previous century. So the seed of the problem of migration in Bangladesh was planted way back in previous centuries but the whole thing is growing out right now at phenomenal rate. The whole thing is like you are driving a car with a fact that you know that your car tyre is puncture but you still keep moving until the tyre burst outs. But most of us resist to be the mechanic and repair the tyre we are more likely to blame the tyre company for the whole issue and play around the politics of that. Each of us is conditioned to blame other for a problem but we don't want to come on the consensus to solve the problem. I personally don't see population as problem I see the management as more of a problem.

Regards,

Shaurya

Dear Fred Romano

Thank you for the response. Though I haven't read the article you shared until now. As far as I understand the geopolitics is largely played for resources. The more resources you control the more powerful the influence you have on other countries. Geopolitics along with climate change are globally phenomena somewhere I personally feel (hypothesis) because of resource control these two things are playing along with each other and the outcomes like Brexit, European Refugee crisis, Bangladesh migration issues etc are connected to it. I am curious to find those connections. Just to add Norway, Russia and USA are waiting for Arctic to melt since 2/3rd of global oil resource is buried deep down there and they want control over it. This is one of the examples how there is a connection to climate change, geopolitics and resources. You can read this: https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/geopolitical-consequences-of-melting-arctic-ice-russia-canada-us-northern-sea-route-shipping-natural-a8229306.html

Regards,

Shaurya

Dear Barbara Pavlikova

Thanks alot for the response. Though at the moment I am just curious to explore the possibilities of connections that the idea holds. It could be possible that there is no connection between any of these things. But the way the current situations across the globe is reacting I personally feel it is delivered out as a result of failure to understand the implications of climate change on day to day politics of each countries and at larger scale the geopolitics of the whole situation. Thanks for sharing the resource.

Regards,

Shaurya