So far, I could not find a single paired-watershed experimental stream flow data on a tropical native forest. FAO & CIFOR (2005) make generalized statements like “…Considerable quantities of rainfall (up to 35 per cent) are commonly intercepted by the canopies of tropical forests and evaporated back into the atmosphere without contributing to soil water reserves…” but they do not present data on native tropical forests. Pine and Eucalyptus forests tend to trap rainwater to the levels mentioned by FAO, but the common sense tells us that the same is not true for native forests. My suspicion is, given the high uncertainty in measuring stream discharge (up to 43% - Baldassare and Montanari (2009)), we may not be able to detect any watershed cover effects on the stream flow, even in the case of exotic trees, worse for native forests. When science is not capable of producing data, why can’t we accept the ‘common sense’ with humility, instead of labeling that as ‘popular myth’?
FAO & CIFOR (2005) “Forests and floods: Drowning in fiction or thriving on facts?”, Center for International Forestry Research, Indonesia and FAO Regional office for Asia and Pacific, Thailand.
Baldassarre, G. Di and A. Montanari (2009) “Uncertainty in river discharge observations: a quantitative analysis”, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 913–921, www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/13/913/2009/